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Savvy Index |
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2023 |
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predictions |
week |
13 |
11/25/23 |
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11/19/23 |
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top 25 |
This season: 594-198 |
wins |
losses |
game values |
notes |
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Arizona |
8 |
3 |
28 |
Odd that Savvy would only have |
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Arizona St. |
3 |
8 |
24 |
a 4-point line on this but we’ll see. |
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20 |
Oregon St. |
8 |
3 |
28 |
Sunday opening lines showed |
5 |
Oregon |
10 |
1 |
35 |
Oregon by 14. |
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18 |
Notre Dame |
8 |
3 |
40 |
Stanford has pretty strong metrics |
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Stanford |
3 |
8 |
16 |
on Savvy for a 3-win team. |
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California |
5 |
6 |
21 |
Cal is going to be a tough “out” |
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UCLA |
7 |
4 |
35 |
in 2024. |
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Colorado |
4 |
7 |
17 |
So, Utah’s Cam Rising started CFB in 2017 |
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Utah |
7 |
4 |
39 |
and may not play his last game until 2025. |
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Washington St. |
5 |
6 |
21 |
Can WSU pick up where it left off |
6 |
Washington |
11 |
0 |
42 |
last week and make a game of it? |
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Ohio |
8 |
3 |
32 |
How on earth did Ohio lose to |
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Akron |
2 |
9 |
12 |
San Diego St. in game 1? |
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Georgia So. |
6 |
5 |
26 |
Clay Helton is losing ground |
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App State |
7 |
4 |
35 |
at GaSo this year. |
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24 |
Missouri |
9 |
2 |
32 |
Missouri is #9 on the coaches poll |
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Arkansas |
4 |
6 |
25 |
but the Tigers are not a top 10 team. |
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7 |
Alabama |
10 |
1 |
33 |
Aubburn can hire one coach another but not solve |
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Auburn |
5 |
5 |
20 |
its problems until the boosters are controlled. |
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25 |
Miami Oh |
9 |
2 |
30 |
This is the same Miami O group that |
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Ball St. |
4 |
7 |
17 |
could barely win a game two years ago. |
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W Virginia |
7 |
4 |
31 |
Is this the end for Baylor’s |
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Baylor |
3 |
8 |
21 |
head coach Aranda? |
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Air Force |
8 |
3 |
24 |
Air Force has been awful in Nov while |
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Boise St. |
6 |
5 |
28 |
BSU shows spark after coaching change. |
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Miami Fl |
6 |
5 |
30 |
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Boston Col |
6 |
5 |
25 |
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E Michigan |
5 |
6 |
20 |
Despite winning few games, |
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Buffalo |
3 |
8 |
21 |
Buffalo will win this minor upset. |
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Kansas |
7 |
4 |
29 |
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Cincinnati |
3 |
8 |
28 |
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18 |
Toledo |
10 |
1 |
36 |
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C Michigan |
5 |
6 |
21 |
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22 |
James Madison |
10 |
1 |
25 |
Heckuva upset prediction by Savvy. |
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Coastal Car |
7 |
4 |
29 |
Experts say JMU will win by 9.5. |
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Pittsburgh |
3 |
8 |
21 |
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Duke |
6 |
5 |
27 |
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Tulsa |
3 |
8 |
24 |
Tulsa is one of the top 10 worst |
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E Carolina |
2 |
9 |
26 |
when it comes to living up to expectations. |
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4 |
Florida St. |
11 |
0 |
37 |
How long does Florida stick with Napier |
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Florida |
5 |
6 |
23 |
when he has yet to post a winning season? |
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W Kentucky |
6 |
5 |
37 |
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Florida Intl. |
4 |
7 |
20 |
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3 |
Georgia |
11 |
0 |
41 |
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Georgia Tech |
6 |
5 |
24 |
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Colorado St. |
5 |
6 |
30 |
CSU didn’t surpass 20 points at all last year. |
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Hawai’i |
4 |
8 |
28 |
Now qb Fowler-Nikolosi may put the Rams in bowl game. |
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Northwestern |
6 |
5 |
18 |
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Illinois |
5 |
6 |
24 |
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Iowa St. |
6 |
5 |
21 |
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23 |
Kansas St. |
8 |
3 |
32 |
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N Illinois |
5 |
6 |
30 |
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Kent St. |
1 |
10 |
17 |
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LA Monroe |
2 |
9 |
20 |
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Louisiana |
5 |
6 |
37 |
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Kentucky |
6 |
5 |
21 |
Strange but both of these outfits |
12 |
Louisville |
10 |
1 |
31 |
have identical trend lines in November. |
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Texas A&M |
7 |
4 |
26 |
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16 |
LSU |
8 |
3 |
39 |
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Arkansas St. |
6 |
5 |
26 |
I personally think ASU wins ‘cuz coach |
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Marshall |
5 |
6 |
31 |
Jones finally has his program up to speed. |
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Connecticut |
2 |
9 |
28 |
UMass has better momentum |
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Massachusetts |
2 |
8 |
27 |
and I think the Minutemen win this one. |
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2 |
Ohio St. |
11 |
0 |
24 |
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1 |
Michigan |
11 |
0 |
28 |
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10 |
Penn St. |
9 |
2 |
35 |
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Michigan St. |
4 |
7 |
14 |
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Wisconsin |
6 |
5 |
24 |
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Minnesota |
5 |
6 |
23 |
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17 |
Mississippi |
9 |
2 |
32 |
Kiffin to A&M doesn’t seem likely |
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Mississippi St. |
5 |
6 |
* |
to me because Kiffin wants control. |
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19 |
Iowa |
9 |
2 |
24 |
Betting lines show Iowa |
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Nebraska |
5 |
6 |
13 |
by one point |
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Wyoming |
7 |
4 |
30 |
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Nevada |
2 |
9 |
19 |
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Utah St. |
5 |
6 |
38 |
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New Mexico |
4 |
7 |
28 |
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Jacksonville St. |
8 |
3 |
24 |
NMSU beat Auburn last week. What a |
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New Mexico St. |
9 |
3 |
28 |
great job by coach Jerry Kill. |
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N Carolina |
8 |
3 |
27 |
I like Savvy’s choice of NCSU |
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N Carolina St. |
8 |
3 |
28 |
more than bookies’ favoring UNC. |
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UAB |
4 |
7 |
34 |
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N Texas |
4 |
7 |
35 |
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TCU |
5 |
6 |
24 |
Despite fewer wins, TCU trend lines |
13 |
Oklahoma |
9 |
2 |
35 |
are rising while OU’s are falling. |
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BYU |
5 |
6 |
25 |
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Oklahoma St. |
8 |
3 |
32 |
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Georgia St. |
6 |
5 |
29 |
I agree with oddsmakers… ODU |
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Old Dominion |
5 |
6 |
26 |
has too much momentum to lose this. |
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Indiana |
3 |
8 |
24 |
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Purdue |
3 |
8 |
32 |
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Florida Atl. |
4 |
7 |
27 |
FAU just hasn’t been the same |
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Rice |
5 |
6 |
28 |
since qb Casey Thompson went down. |
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Maryland |
6 |
5 |
27 |
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Rutgers |
6 |
5 |
21 |
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Middle Tenn |
4 |
7 |
26 |
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Sam Houston |
2 |
9 |
24 |
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Fresno St. |
8 |
3 |
33 |
SDSU should be able to hire |
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San Diego St. |
3 |
8 |
20 |
a proven, winning coach to replace Hoke. |
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Navy |
5 |
5 |
19 |
Bookies say SMU by 20 but |
21 |
SMU |
9 |
2 |
33 |
Navy has fantastic trend lines right now. |
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Clemson |
7 |
4 |
32 |
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S Carolina |
5 |
6 |
24 |
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15 |
Troy |
9 |
2 |
38 |
SoMiss predictions by Savvy |
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S Miss |
3 |
8 |
16 |
are among the most reliable. |
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Wake Forest |
4 |
7 |
21 |
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Syracuse |
5 |
6 |
24 |
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Memphis |
8 |
3 |
42 |
Betting lines show |
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Temple |
3 |
8 |
23 |
Memphis by just 11 points. |
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Vanderbilt |
2 |
9 |
16 |
Tenn was once in the coaches’ top five. |
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Tennessee |
7 |
4 |
41 |
Now, the Vols aren’t even ranked. |
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Texas Tech |
6 |
5 |
22 |
Texas may finish 11-1 |
8 |
Texas |
10 |
1 |
32 |
and not get a playoff spot. |
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S Alabama |
6 |
5 |
34 |
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Texas St. |
6 |
5 |
26 |
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UTSA |
8 |
3 |
25 |
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11 |
Tulane |
10 |
1 |
28 |
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Houston |
4 |
7 |
25 |
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UCF |
5 |
6 |
36 |
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San Jose St. |
6 |
5 |
30 |
Neither of these teams has posted ANY games |
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UNLV |
9 |
2 |
31 |
with more negative metrics than positive. |
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Charlotte |
3 |
8 |
28 |
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USF |
5 |
6 |
34 |
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11 |
Liberty |
11 |
0 |
38 |
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UTEP |
3 |
8 |
17 |
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Virginia Tech |
5 |
6 |
23 |
Mild upset. Both teams well above |
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Virginia |
3 |
8 |
24 |
preseason projections. |
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Bowling Green |
6 |
5 |
29 |
Bowling Green has been |
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W Michigan |
4 |
7 |
26 |
really good the past five weeks. |
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2023 Savvy Index vs the betting lines |
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Predicting winners: |
Savvy |
1% better |
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Point spreads: |
Savvy |
3 games better |
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Total game points: |
Savvy |
47 games better |
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