| Savvy Index | 2023 | ||||
| predictions | week | 13 | 11/25/23 | ||
| 11/19/23 | |||||
| top 25 | This season: 594-198 | wins | losses | game values | notes |
| Arizona | 8 | 3 | 28 | Odd that Savvy would only have | |
| Arizona St. | 3 | 8 | 24 | a 4-point line on this but we’ll see. | |
| 20 | Oregon St. | 8 | 3 | 28 | Sunday opening lines showed |
| 5 | Oregon | 10 | 1 | 35 | Oregon by 14. |
| 18 | Notre Dame | 8 | 3 | 40 | Stanford has pretty strong metrics |
| Stanford | 3 | 8 | 16 | on Savvy for a 3-win team. | |
| California | 5 | 6 | 21 | Cal is going to be a tough “out” | |
| UCLA | 7 | 4 | 35 | in 2024. | |
| Colorado | 4 | 7 | 17 | So, Utah’s Cam Rising started CFB in 2017 | |
| Utah | 7 | 4 | 39 | and may not play his last game until 2025. | |
| Washington St. | 5 | 6 | 21 | Can WSU pick up where it left off | |
| 6 | Washington | 11 | 0 | 42 | last week and make a game of it? |
| Ohio | 8 | 3 | 32 | How on earth did Ohio lose to | |
| Akron | 2 | 9 | 12 | San Diego St. in game 1? | |
| Georgia So. | 6 | 5 | 26 | Clay Helton is losing ground | |
| App State | 7 | 4 | 35 | at GaSo this year. | |
| 24 | Missouri | 9 | 2 | 32 | Missouri is #9 on the coaches poll |
| Arkansas | 4 | 6 | 25 | but the Tigers are not a top 10 team. | |
| 7 | Alabama | 10 | 1 | 33 | Aubburn can hire one coach another but not solve |
| Auburn | 5 | 5 | 20 | its problems until the boosters are controlled. | |
| 25 | Miami Oh | 9 | 2 | 30 | This is the same Miami O group that |
| Ball St. | 4 | 7 | 17 | could barely win a game two years ago. | |
| W Virginia | 7 | 4 | 31 | Is this the end for Baylor’s | |
| Baylor | 3 | 8 | 21 | head coach Aranda? | |
| Air Force | 8 | 3 | 24 | Air Force has been awful in Nov while | |
| Boise St. | 6 | 5 | 28 | BSU shows spark after coaching change. | |
| Miami Fl | 6 | 5 | 30 | ||
| Boston Col | 6 | 5 | 25 | ||
| E Michigan | 5 | 6 | 20 | Despite winning few games, | |
| Buffalo | 3 | 8 | 21 | Buffalo will win this minor upset. | |
| Kansas | 7 | 4 | 29 | ||
| Cincinnati | 3 | 8 | 28 | ||
| 18 | Toledo | 10 | 1 | 36 | |
| C Michigan | 5 | 6 | 21 | ||
| 22 | James Madison | 10 | 1 | 25 | Heckuva upset prediction by Savvy. |
| Coastal Car | 7 | 4 | 29 | Experts say JMU will win by 9.5. | |
| Pittsburgh | 3 | 8 | 21 | ||
| Duke | 6 | 5 | 27 | ||
| Tulsa | 3 | 8 | 24 | Tulsa is one of the top 10 worst | |
| E Carolina | 2 | 9 | 26 | when it comes to living up to expectations. | |
| 4 | Florida St. | 11 | 0 | 37 | How long does Florida stick with Napier |
| Florida | 5 | 6 | 23 | when he has yet to post a winning season? | |
| W Kentucky | 6 | 5 | 37 | ||
| Florida Intl. | 4 | 7 | 20 | ||
| 3 | Georgia | 11 | 0 | 41 | |
| Georgia Tech | 6 | 5 | 24 | ||
| Colorado St. | 5 | 6 | 30 | CSU didn’t surpass 20 points at all last year. | |
| Hawai’i | 4 | 8 | 28 | Now qb Fowler-Nikolosi may put the Rams in bowl game. | |
| Northwestern | 6 | 5 | 18 | ||
| Illinois | 5 | 6 | 24 | ||
| Iowa St. | 6 | 5 | 21 | ||
| 23 | Kansas St. | 8 | 3 | 32 | |
| N Illinois | 5 | 6 | 30 | ||
| Kent St. | 1 | 10 | 17 | ||
| LA Monroe | 2 | 9 | 20 | ||
| Louisiana | 5 | 6 | 37 | ||
| Kentucky | 6 | 5 | 21 | Strange but both of these outfits | |
| 12 | Louisville | 10 | 1 | 31 | have identical trend lines in November. |
| Texas A&M | 7 | 4 | 26 | ||
| 16 | LSU | 8 | 3 | 39 | |
| Arkansas St. | 6 | 5 | 26 | I personally think ASU wins ‘cuz coach | |
| Marshall | 5 | 6 | 31 | Jones finally has his program up to speed. | |
| Connecticut | 2 | 9 | 28 | UMass has better momentum | |
| Massachusetts | 2 | 8 | 27 | and I think the Minutemen win this one. | |
| 2 | Ohio St. | 11 | 0 | 24 | |
| 1 | Michigan | 11 | 0 | 28 | |
| 10 | Penn St. | 9 | 2 | 35 | |
| Michigan St. | 4 | 7 | 14 | ||
| Wisconsin | 6 | 5 | 24 | ||
| Minnesota | 5 | 6 | 23 | ||
| 17 | Mississippi | 9 | 2 | 32 | Kiffin to A&M doesn’t seem likely |
| Mississippi St. | 5 | 6 | * | to me because Kiffin wants control. | |
| 19 | Iowa | 9 | 2 | 24 | Betting lines show Iowa |
| Nebraska | 5 | 6 | 13 | by one point | |
| Wyoming | 7 | 4 | 30 | ||
| Nevada | 2 | 9 | 19 | ||
| Utah St. | 5 | 6 | 38 | ||
| New Mexico | 4 | 7 | 28 | ||
| Jacksonville St. | 8 | 3 | 24 | NMSU beat Auburn last week. What a | |
| New Mexico St. | 9 | 3 | 28 | great job by coach Jerry Kill. | |
| N Carolina | 8 | 3 | 27 | I like Savvy’s choice of NCSU | |
| N Carolina St. | 8 | 3 | 28 | more than bookies’ favoring UNC. | |
| UAB | 4 | 7 | 34 | ||
| N Texas | 4 | 7 | 35 | ||
| TCU | 5 | 6 | 24 | Despite fewer wins, TCU trend lines | |
| 13 | Oklahoma | 9 | 2 | 35 | are rising while OU’s are falling. |
| BYU | 5 | 6 | 25 | ||
| Oklahoma St. | 8 | 3 | 32 | ||
| Georgia St. | 6 | 5 | 29 | I agree with oddsmakers… ODU | |
| Old Dominion | 5 | 6 | 26 | has too much momentum to lose this. | |
| Indiana | 3 | 8 | 24 | ||
| Purdue | 3 | 8 | 32 | ||
| Florida Atl. | 4 | 7 | 27 | FAU just hasn’t been the same | |
| Rice | 5 | 6 | 28 | since qb Casey Thompson went down. | |
| Maryland | 6 | 5 | 27 | ||
| Rutgers | 6 | 5 | 21 | ||
| Middle Tenn | 4 | 7 | 26 | ||
| Sam Houston | 2 | 9 | 24 | ||
| Fresno St. | 8 | 3 | 33 | SDSU should be able to hire | |
| San Diego St. | 3 | 8 | 20 | a proven, winning coach to replace Hoke. | |
| Navy | 5 | 5 | 19 | Bookies say SMU by 20 but | |
| 21 | SMU | 9 | 2 | 33 | Navy has fantastic trend lines right now. |
| Clemson | 7 | 4 | 32 | ||
| S Carolina | 5 | 6 | 24 | ||
| 15 | Troy | 9 | 2 | 38 | SoMiss predictions by Savvy |
| S Miss | 3 | 8 | 16 | are among the most reliable. | |
| Wake Forest | 4 | 7 | 21 | ||
| Syracuse | 5 | 6 | 24 | ||
| Memphis | 8 | 3 | 42 | Betting lines show | |
| Temple | 3 | 8 | 23 | Memphis by just 11 points. | |
| Vanderbilt | 2 | 9 | 16 | Tenn was once in the coaches’ top five. | |
| Tennessee | 7 | 4 | 41 | Now, the Vols aren’t even ranked. | |
| Texas Tech | 6 | 5 | 22 | Texas may finish 11-1 | |
| 8 | Texas | 10 | 1 | 32 | and not get a playoff spot. |
| S Alabama | 6 | 5 | 34 | ||
| Texas St. | 6 | 5 | 26 | ||
| UTSA | 8 | 3 | 25 | ||
| 11 | Tulane | 10 | 1 | 28 | |
| Houston | 4 | 7 | 25 | ||
| UCF | 5 | 6 | 36 | ||
| San Jose St. | 6 | 5 | 30 | Neither of these teams has posted ANY games | |
| UNLV | 9 | 2 | 31 | with more negative metrics than positive. | |
| Charlotte | 3 | 8 | 28 | ||
| USF | 5 | 6 | 34 | ||
| 11 | Liberty | 11 | 0 | 38 | |
| UTEP | 3 | 8 | 17 | ||
| Virginia Tech | 5 | 6 | 23 | Mild upset. Both teams well above | |
| Virginia | 3 | 8 | 24 | preseason projections. | |
| Bowling Green | 6 | 5 | 29 | Bowling Green has been | |
| W Michigan | 4 | 7 | 26 | really good the past five weeks. | |
| 2023 Savvy Index vs the betting lines | |||||
| Predicting winners: | Savvy | 1% better | |||
| Point spreads: | Savvy | 3 games better | |||
| Total game points: | Savvy | 47 games better | |||