|
Savvy Index |
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2022 |
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predictions |
week |
2 |
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week 1: 74 – 8 90% |
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rev: 9/5/22 |
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top 25 |
season: 82 – 11 88% |
wins |
losses |
game rating |
notes |
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Mississippi St. |
1 |
0 |
34 |
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Arizona |
1 |
0 |
24 |
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Arizona St. |
1 |
0 |
21 |
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9 |
Oklahoma St. |
1 |
0 |
44 |
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UNLV |
1 |
0 |
21 |
UNLV has a great shot here because of a strong |
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California |
1 |
0 |
34 |
two-back running attack vs Cal’s 111th ranked rush defense. |
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Colorado |
0 |
1 |
14 |
Colorado is worst in the nation stopping the rush (9.2 ypc). |
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Air Force |
1 |
0 |
45 |
Air Force is second in the nation for rushing (9.4 tpc). |
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fcs |
E Washington |
1 |
0 |
21 |
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Oregon |
0 |
1 |
37 |
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Oregon St. |
1 |
0 |
24 |
Oddsmakers favor OSU by 1. |
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Fresno St. |
1 |
0 |
29 |
Apart from Savvy, so do I. |
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25 |
USC |
1 |
0 |
40 |
. . . But Stanford has a history |
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Stanford |
1 |
0 |
20 |
of impressive play vs USC. |
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fcs |
Alabama St. |
2 |
0 |
7 |
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UCLA |
1 |
0 |
50 |
UCLA may be the best in the West. |
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fcs |
S Utah |
1 |
0 |
3 |
Southern Utah is beginning to climb |
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21 |
Utah |
0 |
1 |
56 |
in FCS but it won’t show against Utah. |
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fcs |
Portland St. |
0 |
1 |
17 |
This is a risky game for UW against |
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Washington |
1 |
0 |
35 |
a red hot PSU outfit. |
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Washington St. |
1 |
0 |
10 |
Keep an eye on this one because Wisconsin’s |
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11 |
Wisconsin |
1 |
0 |
36 |
elite defense gave up 243 yards to FCS Illinois St. last week. |
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23 |
S Carolina |
1 |
0 |
24 |
USC’s Spencer Rattler isn’t struggling… |
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7 |
Arkansas |
1 |
0 |
30 |
he’s running for his life behind an awful OL. |
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UTSA |
0 |
1 |
33 |
Oddsmakers say UTSA by 2 with |
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Army |
0 |
1 |
27 |
54.5 total pts. Both will be higher. |
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San Jose St. |
1 |
0 |
20 |
Auburn has big, big qb issues yet |
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Auburn |
1 |
0 |
30 |
is favored in Vegas by 22.5? |
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W Michigan |
0 |
1 |
36 |
Ball State looked horrible last week |
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Ball St. |
0 |
1 |
24 |
If they can’t stretch the field, the Cardinals will look awful again this week. |
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fcs |
E Kentucky |
0 |
1 |
31 |
EKU quarterback Parker McKinney is a true |
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Bowling Green |
0 |
1 |
34 |
dual threat and may reverse this outcome. |
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fcs |
Holy Cross |
1 |
0 |
24 |
Really strong HCU offensive line |
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Buffalo |
0 |
1 |
27 |
raises the upset alert to “very high”. |
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12 |
Baylor |
1 |
0 |
31 |
Based on Coaches Poll rankings, this would be an upset. |
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8 |
BYU |
1 |
0 |
33 |
Vegas says 53.5 total points. It will be much more. |
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Maryland |
1 |
0 |
39 |
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Charlotte |
0 |
1 |
14 |
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fcs |
Kennesaw St. |
0 |
1 |
17 |
KSU will try to run the ball 70% of the time. |
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18 |
Cincinnati |
0 |
1 |
42 |
UC is 101st against the rush. UC also has some troubling offensive line issues. |
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fcs |
Furman |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Yes, Furman won 52-0 last week but that was |
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8 |
Clemson |
0 |
0 |
47 |
against North Greenville Univ. |
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S Alabama |
1 |
0 |
24 |
I think Savvy Index has this spread |
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C Michigan |
0 |
1 |
42 |
twice as high as it should be. We’ll see. |
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fcs |
Gardner-Webb |
1 |
0 |
7 |
GWU won by 35 last week … against Limestone College. |
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17 |
Coastal Car |
1 |
0 |
57 |
Will CCU’s Grayson McCall be ready? |
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Middle Tenn |
0 |
1 |
27 |
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Colorado St. |
0 |
1 |
31 |
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Syracuse |
1 |
0 |
28 |
Surprisingly narrow margin for Savvy |
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Connecticut |
1 |
1 |
26 |
since Vegas says this is 20+. |
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Old Dominion |
1 |
0 |
17 |
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E Carolina |
0 |
1 |
37 |
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16 |
Kentucky |
1 |
0 |
27 |
I disagree with Savvy and |
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Florida |
1 |
0 |
24 |
agree with Vegas … Florida wins this. |
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fcs |
S E Louisiana |
0 |
1 |
30 |
Upset. This is SELU’s 2nd FBS |
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Florida Atl. |
1 |
1 |
27 |
opponent this year. |
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fcs |
Samford |
1 |
0 |
3 |
You gotta at least check in on this one and |
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2 |
Georgia |
1 |
0 |
53 |
see sensational Samford receiver Kendall Watson. |
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N Carolina |
2 |
0 |
39 |
UNC has already scored |
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Georgia St. |
0 |
1 |
33 |
119 points this season. |
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fcs |
W Carolina |
1 |
0 |
28 |
Carlos Davis of WCU threw |
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Georgia Tech |
0 |
0 |
40 |
six td pases last week. |
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Virginia |
1 |
0 |
21 |
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Illinois |
1 |
1 |
33 |
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fcs |
Idaho |
0 |
1 |
17 |
Idaho’s second FBS |
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Indiana |
1 |
0 |
35 |
opponent of the year. |
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Iowa St. |
1 |
0 |
14 |
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20 |
Iowa |
1 |
0 |
24 |
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fcs |
Norfolk St. |
0 |
1 |
10 |
This is Norfolk’s second FBS opponent |
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James Madison |
1 |
0 |
45 |
in as many weeks. |
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Missouri |
1 |
0 |
21 |
Mizzou will try to win this on the ground |
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Kansas St. |
1 |
0 |
34 |
but KSU is really tough against the run. |
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UAB |
1 |
0 |
31 |
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Liberty |
1 |
0 |
27 |
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E Michigan |
1 |
0 |
13 |
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Louisiana |
1 |
0 |
43 |
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fcs |
Nicholls |
0 |
1 |
30 |
Another FCS upset. |
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LA Monroe |
0 |
1 |
28 |
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fcs |
Stephen F Austin |
1 |
1 |
28 |
SFAU is an FCS title contender |
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LA Tech |
0 |
1 |
30 |
but so far not showing much. |
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fcs |
Southern Univ. |
1 |
0 |
14 |
Southern U. won last week 86-0 |
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LSU |
0 |
1 |
42 |
. . . over Florida Memorial College. |
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S Miss |
0 |
1 |
12 |
SoMiss is better this year |
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15 |
Miami Fl |
1 |
0 |
46 |
but not this week. |
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fcs |
Robert Morris |
0 |
1 |
9 |
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Miami Oh |
0 |
1 |
40 |
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Hawai’i |
0 |
2 |
12 |
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5 |
Michigan |
1 |
0 |
51 |
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Akron |
1 |
0 |
7 |
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24 |
Michigan St. |
1 |
0 |
37 |
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fcs |
W Illinois |
0 |
1 |
7 |
Western Illinois looked much worse |
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Minnesota |
1 |
0 |
45 |
than expected against Tenn-Martin last week. |
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fcs |
C Arkansas |
0 |
1 |
10 |
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22 |
Mississippi |
1 |
0 |
41 |
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Memphis |
0 |
1 |
33 |
Navy with an awful upset loss |
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Navy |
0 |
1 |
24 |
to FCS Delaware last week. |
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Georgia So. |
1 |
0 |
32 |
Upset |
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Nebraska |
1 |
1 |
24 |
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fcs |
Incarnate Word |
1 |
0 |
24 |
Extremely high alerts for |
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Nevada |
1 |
0 |
32 |
this to be an ICU upset. |
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Boise St. |
0 |
1 |
36 |
BSU is going to climb now that dynamic |
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New Mexico |
1 |
0 |
17 |
qb Teyvon Green has taken over. |
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fcs |
Charleston S. |
0 |
1 |
6 |
… but lots of negative trends |
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10 |
N Carolina St. |
1 |
0 |
50 |
already for N Carolina St. |
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Duke |
1 |
0 |
24 |
Savvy predicts this upset despite |
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Northwestern |
1 |
0 |
17 |
bettors favoring NW by 9.5. |
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fcs |
Texas Southern |
0 |
1 |
7 |
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N Texas |
1 |
1 |
54 |
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Marshall |
1 |
0 |
14 |
Both of these teams looked better last |
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Notre Dame |
0 |
1 |
31 |
week in their openers than I expected. |
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Arkansas St. |
1 |
0 |
7 |
I think Arkansas State needs to give |
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3 |
Ohio St. |
1 |
0 |
46 |
backup qb A. J. Mayer another look. |
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Kent St. |
0 |
1 |
12 |
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4 |
Oklahoma |
1 |
0 |
52 |
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Ohio |
1 |
0 |
17 |
Over/under is set at 53.5 but |
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13 |
Penn St. |
1 |
0 |
46 |
it will be much more. |
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Tennessee |
1 |
0 |
27 |
Oddsmakers say Tennessee |
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Pittsburgh |
1 |
0 |
34 |
will win this by 7. |
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fcs |
Indiana St. |
1 |
0 |
17 |
Purdue is still pretty beat |
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Purdue |
0 |
1 |
41 |
up on defense. |
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fcs |
McNeese St. |
0 |
1 |
32 |
Upset |
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Rice |
0 |
1 |
31 |
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fcs |
Wagner |
0 |
1 |
6 |
Wagner reciver Naiem Simmons |
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Rutgers |
1 |
0 |
45 |
is fast and will get loose vs Rutgers. |
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fcs |
Idaho St. |
0 |
1 |
7 |
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San Diego St. |
0 |
1 |
45 |
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fcs |
Lamar |
0 |
1 |
3 |
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14 |
SMU |
1 |
0 |
55 |
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fcs |
Tarleton St |
1 |
0 |
10 |
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TCU |
1 |
0 |
39 |
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fcs |
Lafayette (Penn) |
1 |
0 |
14 |
Jeeeeeeze…get ready to be bored stiff. |
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Temple |
0 |
1 |
37 |
Neither team has hit 200 yards of total offense this year. |
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1 |
Alabama |
1 |
0 |
37 |
Betting lines say Alabama |
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Texas |
1 |
0 |
24 |
by 20+. |
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App State |
0 |
1 |
28 |
Neither defense is strong. Both offenses are. |
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Texas A&M |
1 |
0 |
39 |
53.5 total points is too low. |
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Florida Intl. |
1 |
0 |
28 |
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Texas St. |
0 |
1 |
30 |
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19 |
Houston |
1 |
0 |
39 |
Savvy and most others say this is only a one |
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Texas Tech |
1 |
0 |
34 |
possession difference. Total points will be above 65.5. |
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Massachusetts |
0 |
1 |
18 |
UMass Minutemen . . . that’s about how |
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Toledo |
1 |
0 |
40 |
long they’ll be in this game. |
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fcs |
Alabama A&M |
0 |
1 |
14 |
AAU has no offense and was |
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Troy |
0 |
1 |
36 |
creamed by UAB last week. |
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fcs |
Alcorn St. |
0 |
1 |
17 |
Both teams were outstanding |
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Tulane |
1 |
0 |
35 |
last week. |
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N Illinois |
1 |
0 |
24 |
Tulsa drives me crazy . . . |
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Tulsa |
0 |
1 |
35 |
up and down and hard to predict. |
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Louisville |
0 |
1 |
17 |
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UCF |
1 |
0 |
39 |
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fcs |
Howard |
0 |
2 |
14 |
USF looked much better than I thought |
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USF |
0 |
1 |
40 |
in the season opener. |
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fcs |
Weber St. |
1 |
0 |
27 |
Weber State is a legit FCS contender. |
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Utah St. |
1 |
1 |
31 |
USU cannot stop the run. |
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New Mexico St. |
0 |
2 |
17 |
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UTEP |
0 |
1 |
33 |
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Wake Forest |
1 |
0 |
39 |
Neither team has played a |
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Vanderbilt |
2 |
0 |
24 |
competitive opponent this year. |
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Boston Col |
0 |
1 |
21 |
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Virginia Tech |
0 |
1 |
30 |
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Kansas |
1 |
0 |
21 |
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W Virginia |
0 |
1 |
38 |
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fcs |
N Colorado |
0 |
1 |
14 |
NoCo has two outstanding qbs |
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Wyoming |
1 |
1 |
41 |
but not much defense. |
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