Iowa hosts Oregon in week 11 Savvy Index projections

  Savvy Index   2025    
  predictions week   11    
  11/02/25        
  last week: 37 – 15    season: 447 – 133 wins losses game values notes
6 Oregon 7 1 26 Upset prediction by Savvy. Iowa is better than Indiana at stopping
13 Iowa 6 2 23 the run and Iowa’s only home loss was to Indiana by 5. Indiana bea UO by 5.
           
  Sam Houston 0 8 17 Oregon State has enough energy
  Oregon St. 2 7 35 and momentum to win-out.
           
25 Washington 6 2 38 Wisconsin has only scored over 17 points
  Wisconsin 2 6 13 just once this season and that was 2 months ago.
           
  Massachusetts 0 8 21 Former Oregon OC is starting to
  Akron 3 6 28 build a winner at Akron.
           
  LSU 5 3 20 LSU football is going to rise
4 Alabama 7 1 34 noticeably under new leadership.
           
  Georgia So. 3 5 28 GaSo can’t stop the run.
  App State 4 4 34 App State can.
           
  Kansas 5 4 14 Great job by former OSU assistant Brent
  Arizona 5 3 41 Brennan at Arizona. Bet “over” the 5.5 margin.
           
  S Miss 6 2 30 SoMiss has won 6 of its last 7 but
  Arkansas St. 5 4 24 Ark State will make a game of it.
           
  Temple 5 4 30 Temple will defy oddsmakers and
  Army 4 4 25 win this in an upset.
           
  Kent St. 3 5 26 Vegas favors Ball State but Kent St.
  Ball St. 3 5 24 is on a roll after a tough, tough schedule.
           
  SMU 6 3 42 I’m not sold on SMU but
  Boston Col 1 8 14 BC has lost eight straight.
           
  Florida St. 4 4 36 Bookmakers say FSU will
  Clemson 3 5 20 win this by about a field goal.
           
  Georgia St. 1 7 19  
  Coastal Car 5 3 36  
           
  UNLV 6 2 39  
  Colorado St. 2 6 21  
           
  Duke 5 3 33 UConn’s Skyler Bell leads the
  Connecticut 6 3 25 nation with 74 receptions.
           
  LA Tech 5 3 34  
  Delaware 4 4 19  
           
  Charlotte 1 7 10 ECU beats everyone outside of the top 30.
  E Carolina 5 3 45 Charlotte is outside of the top 100.
           
  Bowling Green 3 6 24 Bowling Green has tried four qbs and
  E Michigan 2 7 27 has more interceptions than tds to show for it.
           
  Tulsa 2 6 27  
  Florida Atl. 3 5 31  
           
22 San Diego St. 7 1 33 San Diego State is 2nd in the nation
  Hawai’i 6 3 16 for fewest yards per rush allowed.
           
  Florida 3 5 24 Betting lines say
  Kentucky 3 5 27 Florida will win by 4.5.
           
  Missouri State 5 3 30 Missouri St has been above Savvy projections
  Liberty 4 4 21 while Liberty has been under.
           
  Texas St. 3 5 28 Experts favor TSU but Savvy is really
  Louisiana 3 6 33 strong on this prediction favoring UL.
           
  California 5 4 17 Louisville has metrics on Savvy that point to
17 Louisville 7 1 35 an upset loss yet to come.
           
24 James Madison 7 1 41 JMU will win by several possessions
  Marshall 4 4 14 because the UM defense can’t stop the Dukes.
           
  Tulane 6 2 21 Careful here . . . Tulane has already upset
  Memphis 8 1 32 Northwestern and Duke.
           
  Syracuse 3 6 10 Why do analysts rave about Miami’s Carson Beck
21 Miami Fl 6 2 39 when he’s thrown nine interceptions already?
           
  Florida Intl. 3 5 24 Looking for a “sleeper” … Savvy sees
  Middle Tenn 1 7 26 MTSU with trends to win this.
           
FCS The Citadel 4 5 0  
11 Mississippi 8 1 62  
           
5 Georgia 7 1 34 Georgia’s metrics on Savvy point to
  Mississippi St. 5 4 21 an upset loss in the next four games.
           
2 Texas A&M 8 0 33 Why oddsmakers set the margin
  Missouri 6 2 24 at just 4.5 is a wonder.
           
  Kennesaw St. 6 2 38 KSU should easily beat the
  New Mexico St. 3 5 13 7.5 spread set by Vegas.
           
  Stanford 3 6 23 Hey Stanford… if you’re tired of traveling cross country
  N Carolina 3 5 25 all year and losing, there’s an opening in the PAC-12.
           
  Navy 7 1 20 Navy has played one of the
12 Notre Dame 6 2 38 five weakest schedules in FBS.
           
  Miami Oh 5 3 28 Miami has won five straight but
  Ohio 5 3 19 Vegas favors Ohio.
           
3 Indiana 9 0 41 This will be six losses
  Penn St. 3 5 14 in a row for Penn State.
           
1 Ohio St. 8 0 45 Purdue is competitive this year
  Purdue 2 7 7 but not against top 10 teams.
           
  UAB 3 5 32 UAB will win in upset of Vegas odds because its receivers
  Rice 4 5 28 will stretch the field and leverage Rice’s defense.
           
  Maryland 4 4 31 Experts predict Rutgers by about 3
  Rutgers 4 5 21 and total points at 59.5.
           
  Air Force 2 6 28 Air Force stays on the ground… odd for an air force.
  San Jose St. 3 5 32 If AFA passed, SJSU would give up some scores.
           
  Iowa St. 5 4 21 TCU’s Eric McAllister is an elite long-ball
  TCU 6 2 34 receiver and will be a difference-maker here.
           
7 BYU 8 0 24 Despite the close spread by Savvy,
8 Texas Tech 8 1 31 this is Texas Tech all the way.
           
  N Illinois 2 6 12 Toledo is 4-0
  Toledo 4 4 33 at home.
           
  Houston 7 2 28 Betting lines say UH by 2.5 but
  UCF 4 4 21 it will be than that.
           
  Nebraska 6 3 32 Vegas favors UCLA.
  UCLA 3 5 17  
           
  Northwestern 5 3 19 If USC is looking ahead to Oregon,
20 USC 6 2 34 Northwestern will win this game.
           
  UTSA 4 4 23  
  USF 6 2 43  
           
  Nevada 1 7 24 Nevada is six points away from being 4-3
  Utah St. 4 4 30 so expect a competitive game.
           
  Jacksonville St. 5 3 31 UTEP is better than its record and will
  UTEP 2 6 20 likely win three straight after this game.
           
  Auburn 4 5 17 Auburn will “bump up” with energy after the
18 Vanderbilt 7 2 33 coaching change, but still lose.
           
  Wake Forest 5 3 21 Virginia has won
14 Virginia 8 1 32 seven straight.
           
  Colorado 3 6 24 If West Virginia had a pass defense,
  W Virginia 3 6 31 it would be a bowl team.
Savvy Index vs the betting lines  
Predicting winners:      1% less than betting lines
Point spreads:      26 games better than betting lines
Total game points:      11 games better than betting lines
best three predcitions  
Missouri St. 29 – 24      final was                       28 – 21
Ohio State 36 – 12      final was                        38 – 14
W Michigan 24 – 21      final was                        24 – 21
 

Leave a comment