Week 6: Miama (Fl) at Florida State – who wins?

  Savvy Index   2025    
  predictions week 6 09/28/25  
      09/28/25    
top 25       last week:  41 – 11       season:  291 – 70 wins losses game values notes
  Oregon St. 0 5 32 App State has among the worst trend
  App State 2 2 24 lines on all of the Savvy Index.
           
  Washington 3 1 32 Any Big Ten team could be 4-0 if
  Maryland 4 0 24 they played Maryland’s weak schedule.
           
  C Michigan 3 2 29 Akron was preseason bottom 10 on Savvy. Despite that
  Akron 1 4 23 low setting, AU has figured a way to under-perform even that..
           
25 Vanderbilt 5 0 28 I think the 11-point margin
7 Alabama 3 1 31 by Vegas is too high.
           
  Oklahoma St. 1 3 20 OSU will keep this closer than most
  Arizona 3 1 34 people think after coaching change.
           
  Texas St. 3 1 41  
  Arkansas St. 1 4 20  
           
  Ohio 3 2 40 Ball State can’t get take-away turnovers and
  Ball St. 1 3 9 that is what they will need vs Ohio.
           
  Kansas St. 2 3 32 Vegas favors Baylor in a matchup
  Baylor 3 2 27 that appears almost dead even.
           
  E Michigan 1 4 21  
  Buffalo 2 3 30  
           
  W Virginia 2 3 12 WVU gets embarrassed again by
13 BYU 4 0 39 another Utah team.
           
  Duke 3 2 34 Duke is a whole lot better than
  California 4 1 19 its win-loss record.
           
10 Iowa St. 5 0 32 Experts say ISU by 1.5. UC is red
  Cincinnati 3 1 21 hot right now but ISU is for real.
           
  Florida Intl. 2 2 21 UConn receiver Tyler Bell already
  Connecticut 3 2 34 has 42 receptions.
           
  W Kentucky 4 1 37 Delaware is favored 
  Delaware 3 1 24 by the bookies.
           
7 Texas 3 1 32 Oddsmakers have set the
  Florida 1 3 14 margin at just 7 (as of 9/28).
           
9 Miami Fl 4 0 34 Florida State is going to struggle against
22 Florida St. 3 1 24 Miami’s extraordinary defense.
           
  Nevada 1 3 14  
  Fresno St. 4 1 35  
           
  Kentucky 2 2 14 Kentucky has a decent ground game but can’t pass.
5 Georgia 3 1 42 One-facet attacks don’t work against Georgia.
           
  James Madison 3 1 24  
  Georgia St. 1 3 13  
           
20 Texas Tech 4 0 30 Behren Morton will start for TTU despite the
  Houston 4 0 14 hype surrounding WIll Hammond.
           
25 Virginia 4 1 29 Virginia is red, red hot and likely
17 Louisville 4 0 35 to win this.
           
  W Michigan 2 3 29 WMU is going to get a bowl game
  Massachusetts 0 4 21 for the second straight year.
           
  Tulsa 2 3 13 I think the experts might be right …
  Memphis 5 0 43 Memphis by about 21, not 30 like Savvy says.
           
  Wisconsin 2 2 16 Michigan is second in the nation in rushnig
18 Michigan 3 1 32 with 6.7 yards per attemt.
           
  Air Force 1 3 21 I think Savvy is a little too high
  Navy 4 0 40 on Navy in this predictions.
           
  Michigan St. 3 1 20  
  Nebraska 3 1 35  
           
  Sam Houston 0 4 27 Thursday game
  New Mexico St. 2 2 25  
           
  Clemson 1 3 31 Clemson is 1-3 but has played a
  N Carolina 2 2 17 really tough schedule so far.
           
FCS Campbell 1 4 6 In my opinion, Campbell should never win
  N Carolina St. 3 2 52 just based on their Fighting Camels nickname.
           
  Miami Oh 1 3 24 Miami O will beat the one-possession
  N Illinois 1 3 19 spread set by the experts.
           
  LA Monroe 3 1 17 I think Northwestern is over-hyped but the
  Northwestern 2 2 28 Wildcats should win this game.
           
  Boise St. 3 1 26 Boise State has played a week schedule.
15 Notre Dame 2 2 39 Notre Dame’s defense does not look like its playoff-ready.
           
  Minnesota 3 1 16 Minnesota has only beaten Ohio State
1 Ohio St. 4 0 32 once in this century.
           
  Kent St. 1 3 7 Experts posted no spread
16 Oklahoma 4 0 49 as of 9/28/25.
           
  Coastal Car 2 2 18  
  Old Dominion 3 1 31  
           
  Boston Col 1 3 24 Pitt will win by more than 4.5 projected by
  Pittsburgh 2 2 37 analysts. BC is struggling.
           
19 Illinois 4 1 41 If bookies stick with a 10.5 spread,
  Purdue 2 2 15 the “over” is an obvious choice.
           
  Florida Atl. 1 3 21  
  Rice 3 2 32  
           
  Colorado St. 1 3 17 San Diego State is 10th in the nation
  San Diego St. 3 1 26 for giving up fewest yards per game.
           
  New Mexico 3 1 34 Oddsmakers favor San Jose St.
  San Jose St. 1 3 21 but UNM has much stronger trends.
           
  Syracuse 3 2 26 Syracuse beat Clemson, then was horribly blown
  SMU 2 2 35 out by Duke. Which Orangemen will show up?
           
  Colorado 2 3 25 Colorado really needs to figure out how
  TCU 3 1 32 to stop opposing rush attacks.
           
  UTSA 2 2 28 Upset prediction by Savvy. Temple
  Temple 2 2 32 will defy the oddmsakers.
           
  Mississippi St. 4 1 21 Mississippi State won’t be able to
11 Texas A&M 4 0 37 contain A&M qb Marcel Reed.
           
  S Alabama 1 4 17 South Alabama has tried three quarterbacks and
  Troy 2 2 32 have as many interceptions as touchdowns.
           
  Army 1 3 38 Neither team has played well even
  UAB 2 2 27 against underwhelming opponents.
           
  Kansas 3 2 36 UCF is playing above expectations but also
  UCF 3 1 21 against sub-par opponents.
           
8 Penn St. 3 1 42 PSU could get 70 points but October is
  UCLA 0 4 7 the month for the Nitanny Lions to stay healthy.
           
  Charlotte 1 3 13 Friday
  USF 3 1 41  
           
  Wake Forest 2 2 26 Vegas favors Va Tech.
  Virginia Tech 2 3 23  
           
  UNLV 4 0 32 UNLV has 8 interceptions already – good
  Wyoming 2 2 17 for second in the nation.
           
Savvy Index vs the betting lines  
Predicting winners:      1% better than betting lines
Point spreads:      10 games better than betting lines
Total game points:      5 games worse than betting lines
Best prediction last week:         Oregon         33           Penn State  24                  (final was                       30-24)
   

 

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