Predictions for all games in week 1 of college football 2025

  Savvy Index   2025    
  predictions week 1    
      08/25/25    
top 25 Last week: 4-1 Season: 4-1 wins losses game values notes
FCS Montana St. 14  revised 8/27/2025
7 Oregon 45  
           
California 24
  Oregon St. 28
           
  Colorado St. 20  
  Washington 37  
           
FCS Idaho 17 I’m not high on either one
  Washington St. 36 of these new coaches.
           
FCS Bucknell 7  
  Air Force 35  
           
  Wyoming 34 Akron is better this year but
  Akron 14 the 7 point spread by experts is too low.
           
  Hawai’i 1 0 24 I dunno . . . Hawai’i looks
  Arizona 33 better than we all thought.
           
FCS N Arizona 8  
24 Arizona St. 42  
           
FCS Alabama A&M 10  
  Arkansas 41  
           
FCS S E Missouri 21  
  Arkansas St. 33  
           
FCS Tarleton St 1 0 14 If Tarleton can defend Army’s
  Army 40 flexbone, this will be a tight game.
           
  Auburn 27 Experts favor Auburn but the Tigers played only
  Baylor 28 four road games last year and were 1-4.
           
FCS Fordham 10  
  Boston Col 44  
           
FCS Lafayette (Penn) 14 Lafayette should be top 35 in
  Bowling Green 37 FCS but BGSU is a solid FBS.
           
FCS Portland St. 10  
13 BYU 51  
           
  App State 31 … but watch this one because Charlotte
  Charlotte 24 is emerging quickly.
           
  Nebraska 28  
  Cincinnati 20  
           
24 LSU 28 There’s chaos in the Bayou
8 Clemson 32 and new life in Death Valley.
           
  Georgia Tech 30  
  Colorado 28  
           
FCS C Conn St. 10  
  Connecticut 37  
           
FCS Delaware St. 13 Savvy sees an easy Delaware win
  Delaware 41 but I think it will be much closer.
           
FCS Elon 10 Bookies say Duke by
  Duke 40 a spread of 34.5.
           
FCS Long Island 6  
  Florida 47  
           
FCS Bethune-Cookman 10  
  Florida Intl. 35  
           
10 Alabama 32 Oddsmakers like
  Florida St. 24 Alabama by more than 13.
           
  Georgia So. 28 Experts favor Fresno St. but
  Fresno St. 0 1 24 I agree with Savvy. GSU wins.
           
  Marshall 10  
3 Georgia 45  
           
FCS Stephen F Austin 17 Houston was 4-8 last year
  Houston 35 but will get to a bowl this year.
           
FCS W Illinois 0 The battle of two programs headed in
18 Illinois 50 opposite directions.
           
  Old Dominion 17  
  Indiana 35  
           
FCS Albany 7  
  Iowa 37  
           
FCS S Dakota 10 S Dakota is an FCS national champ
14 Iowa St. 1 0 37 contender but ISU is too strong.
           
FCS Weber St. 10 Vegas says JMU by
  James Madison 45 just 25.5.
           
FCS Wagner 0  
  Kansas 1 0 49  
           
FCS N Dakota 17  
  Kansas St. 0 1 44  
           
FCS Merrimack 10 Don’t be surprised if Merrimack wins.
  Kent St. 35 KSU football is a big mess right now.
           
  Toledo 31 Toledo beat an SEC on the road
  Kentucky 24 last year. Vegas favors Kentucky.
           
FCS Maine 7 Liberty spread of 25.5 and game
  Liberty 46 points of 53.5 will both be over.
           
  Rice 21  
  Louisiana 35  
           
FCS E Kentucky 10 Eastern Kentucky is a pretty
17 Louisville 45 good FCS program but not like UL.
           
FCS St. Francis PA 13 I think Savvy is a little too
  LA Monroe 39 conservative with this margin.
           
FCS S E Louisiana 21  
  LA Tech 35  
           
  Florida Atl. 21  
  Maryland 38  
           
  Temple 30 Identical ratings. Home team gets the nod.
  Massachusetts 31 Both teams gave up 35+ ppg last year.
           
FCS Chattanooga 17  
  Memphis 44  
           
2 Notre Dame 32 Sunday. Bookies only give Notre
25 Miami Fl 21 Dame a 2.5 margin.
           
  New Mexico 10  
9 Michigan 44  
           
  W Michigan 17 WMU has trouble vs
  Michigan St. 31 Big 10 teams.
           
FCS Austin Peay 21  
  Middle Tenn 35  
           
  Buffalo 21 I tend to agree with bookies who
  Minnesota 30 say this will be an 18 pt UM win.
           
  Georgia St. 13  
5 Mississippi 46  
           
FCS C Arkansas 10 Central Arkansas is pretty strong
16 Missouri 44 but Mizz has an SEC roster.
           
FCS VMI 7  
  Navy 42  
           
FCS Bryant 13  
  New Mexico St. 37  
           
  TCU 30 Monday
  N Carolina 27  
           
  E Carolina 13  
  N Carolina St. 35  
           
FCS Holy Cross 14  
  N Illinois 32  
           
FCS Lamar 17  
  N Texas 38  
           
4 Texas 24 Experts favor OSU by 15.
1 Ohio St. 30 Have they seen Arch yet???
           
FCS Illinois St. 14 Illinois St can score but
20 Oklahoma 45 can the Red Birds get stops?
           
FCS Tenn-Martin 17 OSU’s completely rebuilt program
  Oklahoma St. 42 needs this to be a big win.
           
  Nevada 10  
6 Penn St. 46  
           
FCS Duquesne 7  
  Pittsburgh 32  
           
  Ball St. 21  
  Purdue 33  
           
  Ohio 27 Upset prediction. Bookies
  Rutgers 17 show Rutgers by 15.
           
  UNLV 1 0 34 UNLV came within a hair of
  Sam Houston 0 1 21 being upset by FCS Idaho St. last week.
           
FCS Stony Brook 14 Experts say San Diego St.
  San Diego St. 38 is favored by less than 20.
           
  C Michigan 20 Oddsmakers say SJSU by 12.5
  San Jose St. 35 but it will certainly be more.
           
FCS E Texas A&M 0  
11 SMU 54  
           
FCS Morgan St. 10  
  S Alabama 37  
           
  Virginia Tech 21 Sunday game.
19 S Carolina 27  
           
  Mississippi St. 30 I disagree with Savvy and everyone
  S Miss 28 else. SoMiss wins this under new coach Huff.
           
23 Syracuse 24 This is a Syracuse upset
12 Tennessee 28 in the making.
           
  UTSA 17  
  Texas A&M 37  
           
  E Michigan 20  
  Texas St. 38  
           
FCS Ark Pine Bluff 0  
21 Texas Tech 54  
           
FCS Nicholls 17 Nicholls is suddenly an
  Troy 30 FCS title contender.
           
  Northwestern 21 Tulane is pretty
  Tulane 27 tough at home.
           
FCS Abilene Christian 17  
  Tulsa 41  
           
FCS Alabama St. 16 This game has a moderate
  UAB 41 upset rating.
           
  Jacksonville St. 30 Both programs have new coaches.
  UCF 27 Savvy says JSU wins in upset.
           
  Utah 20 Utah is nearly a consensus favorite
  UCLA 28 but Savvy is solid on UCLA.
           
  Missouri State 14  
  USC 47  
           
15 Boise St. 40 USF’s secondary will lead
  USF 17 Boise St. to a ton of points.
           
  UTEP 24 Both programs should be
  Utah St. 32 much improved in 2025.
           
FCS Charleston S. 7  
  Vanderbilt 42  
           
  Coastal Car 27  
  Virginia 30  
           
  Kennesaw St. 17  
  Wake Forest 35  
           
  Miami Oh 17 UW will have a tougher time
  Wisconsin 25 against Mi (O) than most people think.
           
FCS N Alabama 9  
  W Kentucky 1 0 47  
           
FCS Robert Morris 10 I doubt founder Robert Morris will
  W Virginia 41 miss the plane. Just sayin’.
  Savvy Index vs the betting lines        
  Predicting winners:    same as betting lines      
  Point spreads:    Savvy 1 game better      
  Total game points:    Savvy -3      games      
         

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