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Savvy Index |
|
2024 |
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predictions |
week |
14 |
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Savvy prediction accuracy this season |
|
11/24/24 |
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|
| top 25 |
560 – 167 |
wins |
losses |
game values |
comments |
| |
Washington |
6 |
5 |
17 |
Savvy has been clear that Oregon |
| 1 |
Oregon |
11 |
0 |
32 |
peaked in October and not yet recovered. |
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Oregon St. |
5 |
6 |
19 |
Despite a losing record, Oregon State |
| 8 |
Boise St. |
10 |
1 |
41 |
trends show the program is rising. |
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Wyoming |
2 |
9 |
20 |
Be careful Cougars…Wyoming only has |
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Washington St. |
8 |
3 |
37 |
3 games since Sept with negative trends. |
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Toledo |
7 |
4 |
36 |
Akron is starting to climb as a |
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Akron |
3 |
8 |
17 |
program but not likely to beat Toledo. |
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Auburn |
5 |
6 |
18 |
Auburn has been sooooo close to |
| 15 |
Alabama |
8 |
3 |
35 |
pulling off upsets. Maybe this week? |
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| 16 |
Arizona St. |
9 |
2 |
37 |
Arizona doesn’t have enough |
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Arizona |
4 |
7 |
17 |
defense to take down ASU. |
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Old Dominion |
4 |
7 |
30 |
I dsagree with Vegas and Savvy and |
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Arkansas St. |
7 |
4 |
24 |
think Arkansas State beats ODU. |
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UTSA |
6 |
5 |
20 |
Army has five straight weeks of negative |
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Army |
9 |
1 |
33 |
metrics so UTSA is a good bet to win. |
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Kansas |
5 |
6 |
28 |
Watch out… Kansas has beaten three |
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Baylor |
7 |
4 |
30 |
straight nationally ranked teams! |
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Pittsburgh |
7 |
4 |
29 |
Bookies favor BC but I agree |
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Boston Col |
6 |
5 |
26 |
with Savvy that Pitt wins. |
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Miami Oh |
7 |
4 |
23 |
Miami has played a much, much |
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Bowling Green |
7 |
4 |
22 |
more difficult schedule. |
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Kent St. |
0 |
11 |
14 |
Kent State is the top ranked |
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Buffalo |
7 |
4 |
39 |
worst team in America. |
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Houston |
4 |
7 |
14 |
Houston is rising; BYU dropping fast. |
| 21 |
BYU |
9 |
2 |
33 |
Those are the elements of upsets. |
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UAB |
3 |
8 |
33 |
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Charlotte |
4 |
7 |
26 |
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TCU |
7 |
4 |
30 |
Cincinnati has Corey Kiner and a terffic |
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Cincinnati |
5 |
6 |
24 |
rush attack so this is high upset alert. |
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| 18 |
S Carolina |
8 |
3 |
27 |
Experts prefer Clemson but I |
| 9 |
Clemson |
9 |
2 |
24 |
think Savvy has this right… USC wins. |
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Oklahoma St. |
3 |
8 |
20 |
The postseason won’t be kind to |
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Colorado |
8 |
3 |
41 |
Colorado if the Buffs have no rush attack. |
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Utah St. |
4 |
7 |
29 |
Despite Savvy and betting lines, |
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Colorado St. |
7 |
4 |
32 |
I think Utah State wins in upset. |
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Navy |
7 |
3 |
27 |
Navy performances in November |
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E Carolina |
7 |
4 |
25 |
have been awful. |
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Middle Tenn |
3 |
8 |
25 |
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Florida Intl. |
3 |
8 |
28 |
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Florida |
6 |
5 |
33 |
UF coach Napier is getting together |
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Florida St. |
2 |
9 |
18 |
in this, his second year. |
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Georgia Tech |
7 |
4 |
23 |
Experts say Georgia will |
| 4 |
Georgia |
9 |
2 |
34 |
win by 20. GeoTech will keep it closer. |
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App State |
5 |
5 |
23 |
Another bowl game for |
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Georgia So. |
7 |
4 |
35 |
GaSo coach Clay Helton. |
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Coastal Car |
5 |
6 |
31 |
CCU needs to reconfigure its passing |
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Georgia St. |
3 |
8 |
26 |
scheme in the off season. |
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New Mexico |
5 |
6 |
31 |
What a great job Menendahl |
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Hawai’i |
4 |
7 |
28 |
has done at new Mexico! |
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Purdue |
1 |
10 |
10 |
Can I just say bookies are crazy to |
| 23 |
Indiana |
10 |
1 |
46 |
hold the spread down to 28? |
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Nebraska |
6 |
5 |
17 |
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Iowa |
7 |
4 |
27 |
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| 19 |
Kansas St. |
8 |
3 |
24 |
Does ISU coach Matt Campbell |
| 14 |
Iowa St. |
9 |
2 |
28 |
stay or go after this great season? |
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Marshall |
8 |
3 |
24 |
Marshall has won seven |
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James Madison |
8 |
3 |
30 |
of its last eight games. |
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| 22 |
Louisville |
7 |
4 |
32 |
Oddsmakers may be right |
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Kentucky |
4 |
7 |
21 |
that this is a one possession game. |
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Louisiana |
9 |
2 |
38 |
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LA Monroe |
5 |
6 |
17 |
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Kennesaw St. |
2 |
9 |
17 |
Oddsmakers set total points |
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LA Tech |
4 |
7 |
30 |
at 42.5. It will be above 45. |
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Oklahoma |
6 |
5 |
24 |
Oklahoma has momentum and unity. |
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LSU |
7 |
4 |
28 |
LSU does not. I think OU wins in upset. |
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Connecticut |
7 |
4 |
38 |
Will UMass get a burst of new hope |
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Massachusetts |
2 |
9 |
17 |
now that coach Brown is gone? |
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Rutgers |
6 |
5 |
26 |
Vegas favors MSU but |
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Michigan St. |
5 |
6 |
21 |
Rutgers will squeak out a win. |
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Mississippi St. |
2 |
9 |
14 |
I agree with experts at 27 point spread |
| 12 |
Mississippi |
8 |
3 |
41 |
but total points will be less than their 62.5. |
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Arkansas |
6 |
5 |
24 |
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| 25 |
Missouri |
8 |
3 |
28 |
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UTEP |
2 |
9 |
26 |
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New Mexico St. |
3 |
8 |
27 |
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N Carolina St. |
5 |
6 |
27 |
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N Carolina |
6 |
5 |
35 |
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C Michigan |
4 |
7 |
24 |
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N Illinois |
6 |
5 |
27 |
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| 24 |
Illinois |
8 |
3 |
28 |
Remember the futility of Illinois for decades? |
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Northwestern |
4 |
7 |
13 |
Those days are over with Bielema as coach. |
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Ball St. |
3 |
8 |
14 |
Ball State has high-rising metrics on |
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Ohio |
8 |
3 |
35 |
Savvy so next y ear should be good. |
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Michigan |
6 |
5 |
13 |
Ohio State looks to me like the |
| 3 |
Ohio St. |
11 |
1 |
36 |
best bet to win it all. |
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Maryland |
4 |
7 |
13 |
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| 6 |
Penn St. |
10 |
1 |
38 |
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USF |
6 |
5 |
33 |
Rice trend lines are skyrocketing |
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Rice |
3 |
8 |
23 |
upward since coaching change. |
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Liberty |
8 |
2 |
27 |
Will Liberty qb Kaidon |
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Sam Houston |
8 |
3 |
24 |
Salter enter the portal. |
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Air Force |
4 |
7 |
27 |
Air Force is the fastest rising team |
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San Diego St. |
4 |
7 |
19 |
in Savvy the past five weeks. |
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Stanford |
3 |
8 |
24 |
Stanford trends are rising while |
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San Jose St. |
6 |
5 |
32 |
San Jose St. trends are dropping. |
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California |
6 |
5 |
17 |
Cal has good rush defense but it |
| 7 |
SMU |
10 |
1 |
39 |
won’t stop SMU’s Brashard Smith. |
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Texas St. |
6 |
5 |
28 |
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S Alabama |
6 |
5 |
32 |
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| 10 |
Miami Fl |
10 |
1 |
37 |
I smell upset. |
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Syracuse |
8 |
3 |
21 |
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N Texas |
5 |
6 |
37 |
NoTex qb Chandler Morris has passed |
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Temple |
3 |
8 |
25 |
for over 3500 yards and 30 tds. |
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| 5 |
Texas |
10 |
1 |
35 |
This is going to be a fantastic |
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Texas A&M |
8 |
3 |
17 |
and well played game. |
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W Virginia |
6 |
5 |
27 |
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Texas Tech |
7 |
4 |
34 |
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S Miss |
1 |
10 |
20 |
Two teams that way |
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Troy |
3 |
8 |
32 |
underachieved in 2024. |
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| 20 |
Memphis |
9 |
2 |
24 |
Tulane backup qb is struggling at |
| 13 |
Tulane |
9 |
2 |
34 |
Tulane as he did at Oregon. |
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Florida Atl. |
2 |
9 |
28 |
Two programs looking |
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Tulsa |
3 |
8 |
30 |
for new head coaches. |
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Utah |
4 |
7 |
23 |
UCF caught on fire late in October |
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UCF |
4 |
7 |
29 |
and will post a solid win vs Utah. |
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Fresno St. |
6 |
5 |
24 |
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UCLA |
4 |
7 |
27 |
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Nevada |
3 |
9 |
21 |
Nevada is rising fast but doesn’t |
| 17 |
UNLV |
9 |
2 |
37 |
have enough to take down UNLV. |
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| 2 |
Notre Dame |
10 |
1 |
34 |
Experts say Notre Dame by just 7. |
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USC |
6 |
5 |
19 |
The final will be double digits. |
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| 11 |
Tennessee |
9 |
2 |
33 |
Win or lose against Tennessee, |
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Vanderbilt |
6 |
5 |
17 |
Vandy deserves a bowl bid. |
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Virginia |
5 |
6 |
21 |
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Virginia Tech |
5 |
6 |
28 |
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Duke |
8 |
3 |
33 |
Vegas says Duke by 2.5 but |
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Wake Forest |
4 |
7 |
19 |
that is way too low. |
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Minnesota |
6 |
5 |
24 |
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Wisconsin |
5 |
6 |
22 |
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Jacksonville St. |
8 |
3 |
32 |
Vegas likes WKU but Savvy |
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W Kentucky |
7 |
4 |
26 |
is solid that JSU will win. |
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E Michigan |
5 |
6 |
28 |
WMU is vulnerable to the rush |
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W Michigan |
5 |
6 |
29 |
so EMU has a good chance to win. |
Savvy Game Line 