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Savvy Index |
|
2024 |
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predictions |
week |
12 |
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Savvy prediction accuracy this season |
|
11/10/24 |
|
|
| top 25 |
513 – 159 |
wins |
losses |
game values |
comments |
| 1 |
Oregon |
10 |
0 |
32 |
Have the Ducks peaked? |
| |
Wisconsin |
5 |
4 |
17 |
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Oregon St. |
4 |
5 |
31 |
I said in Sept. OSU would change qbs about now |
| |
Air Force |
2 |
7 |
24 |
but not to Gulbranson. Should be Gabarri Johnson. |
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| FCS |
Mercer |
9 |
1 |
16 |
Mercer is going to compete. Watch cb |
| 9 |
Alabama |
7 |
2 |
40 |
T.J. Moore who has 6 interceptions for Mercer. |
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Houston |
4 |
5 |
28 |
Vegas favors Arizona |
| |
Arizona |
3 |
6 |
21 |
by 1.5 at 44.5. |
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| 4 |
Texas |
8 |
1 |
38 |
Oddsmakers like UT by 16.5 |
| |
Arkansas |
5 |
4 |
14 |
but it will be 20+. |
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LA Monroe |
5 |
4 |
21 |
Vegas sets the spread at 24.5 but |
| |
Auburn |
3 |
6 |
25 |
Savvy Index sees a potential upset. |
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W Michigan |
5 |
4 |
26 |
Tuesday |
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Bowling Green |
5 |
4 |
30 |
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Ball St. |
3 |
6 |
23 |
Neither team has been strong but |
| |
Buffalo |
5 |
4 |
30 |
Ball St. gives up 39ppg. |
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Kansas |
3 |
6 |
21 |
BYU is headed for a fall. The Cougars |
| 7 |
BYU |
9 |
0 |
34 |
don’t have top-10 metrics on Savvy. |
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Syracuse |
6 |
3 |
31 |
Bookies prefer Cal but Syracuse |
| |
California |
5 |
4 |
23 |
has fabulous trend lines in the past five weeks. |
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USF |
4 |
5 |
32 |
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Charlotte |
3 |
6 |
21 |
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Utah |
4 |
5 |
20 |
Utah has net-negative trends in 2024 |
| 21 |
Colorado |
7 |
2 |
29 |
while Colorado has net-positive. |
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Wyoming |
2 |
7 |
20 |
Colorado State has won |
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Colorado St. |
6 |
3 |
31 |
four in a row. |
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| 25 |
LSU |
6 |
3 |
33 |
Two teams facing off after |
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Florida |
4 |
5 |
24 |
each had brutal losses last year. |
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| 6 |
Tennessee |
8 |
1 |
30 |
Bookies are calling this for |
| 12 |
Georgia |
7 |
2 |
24 |
Georgia by nearly 10 points. |
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Troy |
2 |
7 |
17 |
Georgia Southern will lose in upset soon, |
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Georgia So. |
6 |
3 |
32 |
perhaps this week. |
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Arkansas St. |
5 |
4 |
29 |
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Georgia St. |
2 |
7 |
24 |
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Michigan St. |
4 |
5 |
17 |
Illinois is full of fury after |
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Illinois |
6 |
3 |
26 |
losing last two games. |
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Cincinnati |
5 |
4 |
21 |
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Iowa St. |
7 |
2 |
27 |
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Florida Intl. |
3 |
6 |
21 |
Former Michigan coach Rich Rodriguez |
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Jacksonville St. |
6 |
3 |
37 |
is flourishing at Jacksonville St. |
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Arizona St. |
7 |
2 |
28 |
This is going to be an exciting |
| 19 |
Kansas St. |
7 |
2 |
30 |
and well-played game |
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Sam Houston |
7 |
2 |
38 |
I don’t understand experts setting |
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Kennesaw St. |
1 |
8 |
12 |
the margin at just 13 points. |
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| FCS |
Murray St. |
1 |
9 |
7 |
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Kentucky |
3 |
6 |
42 |
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S Alabama |
4 |
5 |
21 |
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Louisiana |
8 |
1 |
35 |
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Coastal Car |
5 |
4 |
24 |
CCU has played a harder schedule |
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Marshall |
6 |
3 |
33 |
but Marshall has better performance trends. |
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Rutgers |
5 |
4 |
26 |
Savvy disagrees with Vegas |
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Maryland |
4 |
5 |
25 |
and says Rutgers will win. |
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Liberty |
6 |
2 |
41 |
Wow- oddsmakers set the spread |
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Massachusetts |
2 |
7 |
13 |
at just 14 points. |
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UAB |
2 |
7 |
21 |
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Memphis |
8 |
2 |
40 |
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Kent St. |
0 |
9 |
7 |
Wednesday |
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Miami Oh |
5 |
4 |
39 |
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| 22 |
Tulane |
8 |
2 |
31 |
Navy qb Blake Horvath has scored |
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Navy |
7 |
2 |
21 |
13 tds on the ground. |
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| 16 |
Washington St. |
8 |
1 |
43 |
Gotta hand it to coaches Dickert and |
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New Mexico |
4 |
6 |
24 |
Mendenahl and the jobs they’ve done this year. |
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Wake Forest |
4 |
5 |
24 |
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N Carolina |
5 |
4 |
39 |
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Akron |
2 |
7 |
14 |
Wednesday |
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N Illinois |
5 |
4 |
34 |
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| 3 |
Ohio St. |
9 |
1 |
38 |
Northwestern qbs have thrown more |
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Northwestern |
4 |
5 |
6 |
interceptions this year than tds. |
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Virginia |
5 |
4 |
17 |
I personally think Virginia comes |
| 2 |
Notre Dame |
8 |
1 |
39 |
within one possession. |
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E Michigan |
5 |
4 |
21 |
Wednesday |
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Ohio |
6 |
3 |
28 |
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James Madison |
7 |
2 |
34 |
Old Dominion is dangerous |
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Old Dominion |
4 |
5 |
17 |
so this game has high upset trends. |
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| 15 |
Clemson |
7 |
2 |
34 |
Clemson has played a much |
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Pittsburgh |
7 |
2 |
28 |
tougher schedule. |
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| 5 |
Penn St. |
8 |
1 |
44 |
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Purdue |
1 |
8 |
7 |
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| 14 |
Boise St. |
8 |
1 |
36 |
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San Jose St. |
6 |
3 |
24 |
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Boston Col |
5 |
4 |
20 |
I smell an upset. BC has found something |
| 10 |
SMU |
8 |
1 |
38 |
this month while SMU trends are dropping. |
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| 23 |
Missouri |
7 |
2 |
20 |
Vegas sets total points at 44.5. |
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S Carolina |
6 |
3 |
30 |
It will be much more. |
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| 18 |
Louisville |
6 |
3 |
43 |
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Stanford |
2 |
7 |
14 |
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Florida Atl. |
2 |
7 |
26 |
This game won’t be well played but |
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Temple |
2 |
7 |
28 |
it will be exciting to the end. |
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New Mexico St. |
2 |
7 |
14 |
Wow… Vegas sets the margin at 40.5 |
| 20 |
Texas A&M |
7 |
2 |
39 |
but NMSU is going to make it closer. |
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S Miss |
1 |
8 |
17 |
I personally doubt So Miss gets to |
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Texas St. |
5 |
4 |
43 |
17 points in this game. |
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C Michigan |
3 |
6 |
24 |
Tuesday |
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Toledo |
6 |
3 |
31 |
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E Carolina |
5 |
4 |
37 |
Thursday. Expect ECU to |
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Tulsa |
3 |
6 |
17 |
supersede experts’ 13 pt spread. |
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San Diego St. |
3 |
6 |
17 |
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UNLV |
7 |
2 |
37 |
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Nebraska |
5 |
4 |
21 |
All experts seem to favor USC |
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USC |
4 |
5 |
27 |
but I personally see Nebraska winning this. |
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Hawai’i |
4 |
6 |
35 |
Look for Hawai’i to well-surpass |
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Utah St. |
2 |
7 |
24 |
the 2-pt Vegas margin. |
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N Texas |
5 |
4 |
29 |
Experts say N Texas wins but I |
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UTSA |
4 |
5 |
34 |
agree with Savvy … UTSA will win. |
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UCLA |
4 |
5 |
23 |
Bookmakers prefer UW but |
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Washington |
5 |
5 |
22 |
UCLA has much better trends. |
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LA Tech |
3 |
6 |
21 |
W Kentucky’s record looks better thanit should. |
| |
W Kentucky |
7 |
2 |
37 |
WKU MUST find a way to rush the ball! |
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Baylor |
5 |
4 |
27 |
Experts favor
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W Virginia |
5 |
4 |
30 |
W Virginia
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Savvy Index vs the betting lines |
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Predicting winners: |
season: |
1% less |
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Point spreads: |
season: |
Savvy 2 games better |
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Total game points: |
season: |
Savvy 111 games better |
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