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Savvy Index |
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2024 |
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predictions |
week |
9 |
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Savvy prediction accuracy this season |
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10/20/24 |
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| top 25 |
400 – 117 |
wins |
losses |
game values |
comments |
| 23 |
Illinois |
6 |
1 |
21 |
Vegas says UO by over 20 but |
| 2 |
Oregon |
7 |
0 |
31 |
Illinois is going to be a tough out. [10/21/2024]
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Oregon St. |
4 |
3 |
28 |
Betting houses say Cal |
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California |
3 |
4 |
24 |
will win by about 10. |
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E Michigan |
5 |
2 |
36 |
EMU will win this by |
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Akron |
1 |
6 |
16 |
three-plus possessions. |
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| 17 |
Missouri |
6 |
1 |
25 |
Alabama hasn’t met expectations |
| 14 |
Alabama |
5 |
2 |
29 |
in the past five weeks. |
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Georgia St. |
2 |
4 |
28 |
Neither team is |
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App State |
2 |
4 |
30 |
playing very well. |
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W Virginia |
3 |
4 |
34 |
I like Arizona and the ‘Cats are favored |
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Arizona |
3 |
4 |
20 |
by Vegas but Savvy has it right with WVU. |
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Troy |
1 |
6 |
25 |
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Arkansas St. |
4 |
3 |
26 |
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N Illinois |
4 |
3 |
31 |
Ball State has looked good in October |
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Ball St. |
2 |
5 |
17 |
but NIU will win this week. |
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Oklahoma St. |
3 |
4 |
30 |
Experts favor Baylor |
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Baylor |
3 |
4 |
28 |
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Louisville |
4 |
3 |
32 |
BC started fast but has 12 negative |
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Boston Col |
4 |
3 |
22 |
trends on Savvy in past five weeks. |
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Cincinnati |
5 |
2 |
23 |
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Colorado |
5 |
2 |
30 |
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New Mexico |
3 |
4 |
29 |
This should be a rock |
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Colorado St. |
4 |
3 |
35 |
solid prediction. |
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Rice |
2 |
5 |
23 |
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Connecticut |
4 |
3 |
30 |
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| 11 |
SMU |
6 |
1 |
31 |
SMU’s bigger battle is the quest |
| 25 |
Duke |
6 |
1 |
21 |
for autonomy from its denomination. |
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Temple |
2 |
5 |
23 |
ECU comes into this game with a new |
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E Carolina |
3 |
4 |
29 |
HC after Mike Houston fired on Sunday. |
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Sam Houston |
5 |
2 |
32 |
Tuesday |
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Florida Intl. |
2 |
5 |
21 |
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San Jose St. |
5 |
2 |
24 |
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Fresno St. |
4 |
3 |
33 |
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Nevada |
3 |
5 |
28 |
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Hawai’i |
2 |
5 |
22 |
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Utah |
4 |
3 |
28 |
Cam Rising had a nice run at Utah |
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Houston |
2 |
5 |
14 |
but it’s over now. Portal is next. |
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Washington |
4 |
3 |
22 |
How long can Indiana keep blasting |
| 19 |
Indiana |
7 |
0 |
31 |
projections to smithereens? |
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Northwestern |
3 |
4 |
14 |
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Iowa |
4 |
3 |
24 |
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Middle Tenn |
2 |
5 |
16 |
Wednesday |
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Jacksonville St. |
3 |
3 |
42 |
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S Miss |
1 |
6 |
10 |
Expect So Miss to surge with |
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James Madison |
5 |
2 |
42 |
the hope of Sunday’s coaching change. |
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Kansas |
2 |
5 |
17 |
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| 8 |
Kansas St. |
6 |
1 |
35 |
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Liberty |
5 |
0 |
44 |
Wednesday |
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Kennesaw St. |
0 |
6 |
8 |
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Auburn |
2 |
5 |
17 |
Auburn needs to get out from |
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Kentucky |
3 |
4 |
30 |
under the cloud of its boosters. |
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UTEP |
1 |
6 |
25 |
Tuesday |
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LA Tech |
3 |
3 |
27 |
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| FCS |
Wagner |
4 |
4 |
13 |
Wagner has a terrific secondary |
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Massachusetts |
1 |
6 |
35 |
but UMass should win handily. |
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Charlotte |
3 |
4 |
12 |
Memphis is not playing well |
| 16 |
Memphis |
6 |
1 |
45 |
so expect the margin to close. |
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Florida St. |
1 |
6 |
17 |
When will Miami run out of last minute |
| 13 |
Miami Fl |
7 |
0 |
37 |
game saving magic tricks? |
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C Michigan |
3 |
4 |
15 |
Oddsmakers say Miami (Oh) by |
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Miami Oh |
3 |
4 |
34 |
12 but Savvy says by 19. |
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Michigan St. |
4 |
3 |
23 |
Michigan’s offense is awful yet |
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Michigan |
4 |
3 |
21 |
Vegas still favors the Wolverines. |
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Maryland |
4 |
3 |
23 |
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Minnesota |
4 |
3 |
25 |
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Oklahoma |
4 |
3 |
19 |
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| 12 |
Mississippi |
5 |
2 |
33 |
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Arkansas |
4 |
3 |
31 |
Arkansas will win but Mississippi |
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Mississippi St. |
1 |
6 |
23 |
State is beginning to rise. |
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| 6 |
Notre Dame |
6 |
1 |
33 |
Navy has played a much |
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Navy |
6 |
0 |
21 |
easier schedule than the Irish. |
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Tulane |
5 |
2 |
40 |
Keep an eye on NoTexas because |
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N Texas |
5 |
2 |
26 |
the Eagles are surging. |
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Buffalo |
4 |
3 |
20 |
Savvy gives Buffalo a very, very |
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Ohio |
4 |
3 |
27 |
high chance of upset. |
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Nebraska |
5 |
2 |
6 |
Nebraska was humiliated last |
| 4 |
Ohio St. |
5 |
1 |
41 |
week and probably again this week. |
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Georgia So. |
5 |
2 |
29 |
Thursday |
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Old Dominion |
3 |
4 |
25 |
Vegas favors ODU |
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Syracuse |
5 |
1 |
25 |
Both have overachieved but Pitt |
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Pittsburgh |
6 |
0 |
32 |
has over-overachieved. |
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Washington St. |
6 |
1 |
40 |
I see the Cougars winning |
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San Diego St. |
3 |
3 |
14 |
this big. |
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LA Monroe |
5 |
1 |
23 |
Really? Vegas favors |
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S Alabama |
3 |
4 |
29 |
South Alabama by over 8? |
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Wake Forest |
3 |
4 |
30 |
Wake Forest has a better roster but |
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Stanford |
2 |
5 |
24 |
Stanford has better metrics. |
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Texas Tech |
5 |
2 |
36 |
Experts say TCU will win but |
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TCU |
4 |
3 |
28 |
Savvy is firm with Texas Tech. |
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| 7 |
LSU |
6 |
1 |
31 |
Oddsmakers are taking |
| 20 |
Texas A&M |
6 |
1 |
24 |
Texas A&M at home. |
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Bowling Green |
3 |
4 |
14 |
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Toledo |
5 |
2 |
34 |
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UTSA |
3 |
4 |
40 |
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Tulsa |
1 |
6 |
17 |
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| 18 |
BYU |
7 |
0 |
36 |
I don’t understand how the experts |
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UCF |
3 |
4 |
19 |
have BYU by a single point. |
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| 15 |
Boise St. |
5 |
1 |
36 |
I think UNLV posts |
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UNLV |
6 |
1 |
30 |
an upset in Vegas. |
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Rutgers |
4 |
3 |
20 |
USC has lost four of its |
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USC |
3 |
4 |
32 |
last five but still better than RU. |
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| 5 |
Texas |
6 |
1 |
39 |
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Vanderbilt |
5 |
2 |
14 |
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N Carolina |
3 |
4 |
27 |
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Virginia |
4 |
3 |
31 |
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Georgia Tech |
5 |
3 |
21 |
GeoTech trends have been dropping. |
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Virginia Tech |
4 |
3 |
32 |
VaTech trends have been rising. |
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| 3 |
Penn St. |
6 |
0 |
29 |
Wisconsin has been fabulous in |
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Wisconsin |
5 |
2 |
19 |
October. Can the Badgers upset PSU? |
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Kent St. |
0 |
7 |
22 |
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W Michigan |
4 |
3 |
39 |
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Utah St. |
1 |
6 |
37 |
I tend to side with bookies who |
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Wyoming |
1 |
6 |
22 |
say Wyoming wins this game. |
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Savvy Index vs the betting lines |
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Predicting winners: |
season: |
same as bookmakers |
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Point spreads: |
season: |
Savvy 5 games better |
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Total game points: |
season: |
Savvy 77 games better |
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Savvy Game Line 