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Savvy Index |
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2024 |
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predictions |
week |
7 |
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Army: increased spread
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Savvy prediction accuracy this season |
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10/06/24 |
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rev 10/7 Army: increased spread
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| top 25 |
313 – 89 |
wins |
losses |
game values |
comments |
| 2 |
Ohio St. |
5 |
0 |
30 |
Bookies say OSU by four but |
| 5 |
Oregon |
5 |
0 |
24 |
it will be more. |
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Oregon St. |
4 |
1 |
32 |
Oregon State’s disappointing defense |
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Nevada |
2 |
4 |
21 |
puts this game in doubt. |
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S Carolina |
3 |
2 |
19 |
Alabama is beginning to trend |
| 10 |
Alabama |
4 |
1 |
36 |
steadily downward. |
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Utah |
4 |
1 |
30 |
You can’t pass on Utah but ASU’s strenght is |
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Arizona St. |
4 |
1 |
19 |
the rush so expect a competitive game. |
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UAB |
1 |
4 |
10 |
Army gives up a ridiculous |
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Army |
5 |
0 |
42 |
9.8 points per game. |
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N Illinois |
3 |
2 |
24 |
Bowling Green is favored only |
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Bowling Green |
2 |
3 |
25 |
because this is a home game. |
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Toledo |
4 |
1 |
35 |
Toledo has developed |
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Buffalo |
3 |
2 |
15 |
a top 20 rushing attack. |
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Arizona |
3 |
2 |
17 |
Two former Oregon State assistants |
| 17 |
BYU |
5 |
0 |
36 |
face each other as head coaches. |
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Ohio |
3 |
2 |
30 |
CMU is having a hard time |
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C Michigan |
3 |
2 |
24 |
getting decent qb play. |
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| 9 |
Kansas St. |
4 |
1 |
32 |
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Colorado |
4 |
1 |
23 |
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San Jose St. |
4 |
1 |
40 |
I don’t understand why bookies |
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Colorado St. |
2 |
3 |
16 |
show just a two point margin. |
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Miami Oh |
1 |
4 |
21 |
Bookmakers favor Miami [O] |
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E Michigan |
4 |
1 |
25 |
but EMU will win this. |
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N Texas |
4 |
1 |
34 |
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Florida Atl. |
2 |
3 |
26 |
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Washington St. |
4 |
1 |
34 |
Two teams that didn’t play |
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Fresno St. |
3 |
2 |
30 |
last week will be ready now. |
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Mississippi St. |
1 |
4 |
22 |
Oddmskers say Georgia by a |
| 7 |
Georgia |
4 |
1 |
30 |
whopping 34.5. I don’t see it. |
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Marshall |
3 |
2 |
28 |
Georgia Southern MUST find |
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Georgia So. |
3 |
2 |
32 |
a way to stop the rush. |
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Old Dominion |
1 |
4 |
27 |
This game is virtually |
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Georgia St. |
2 |
2 |
28 |
a toss up. |
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| 19 |
Boise St. |
4 |
1 |
46 |
Hawai’i won’t win but Timmy Chang |
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Hawai’i |
2 |
3 |
13 |
has the program rising. |
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Purdue |
1 |
4 |
7 |
Purdue is a mess and firing |
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Illinois |
4 |
1 |
39 |
Harrell won’t help. |
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Washington |
4 |
2 |
21 |
This only the 2nd road game for UW. |
| 24 |
Iowa |
3 |
2 |
22 |
Last time road game was a loss. |
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New Mexico St. |
1 |
4 |
20 |
NMSU has tried 3 qbs and not one |
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Jacksonville St. |
2 |
3 |
39 |
has completed more than 46% of his passes. |
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Coastal Car |
4 |
1 |
24 |
James Madison gives up |
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James Madison |
4 |
1 |
36 |
just 18 points per game. |
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Ball St. |
1 |
4 |
30 |
Both of these teams are ranked |
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Kent St. |
0 |
5 |
28 |
in the bottom three of 134 teams. |
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Vanderbilt |
3 |
2 |
17 |
Two high performing teams means |
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Kentucky |
3 |
2 |
30 |
this will be a great game. |
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Florida Intl. |
2 |
3 |
17 |
Liberty has tons of negative trends and |
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Liberty |
4 |
0 |
41 |
will lose in upset in October. |
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App State |
2 |
3 |
24 |
Louisiana has one of the best |
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Louisiana |
4 |
1 |
37 |
rush attacks in America. |
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S Miss |
1 |
4 |
10 |
ULM’s Bryan Vincent has become a |
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LA Monroe |
4 |
1 |
35 |
coveted head football coach. |
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Middle Tenn |
1 |
4 |
24 |
Middle Tennessee is among the leaders |
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LA Tech |
2 |
2 |
28 |
in turning the ball over. |
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| 4 |
Mississippi |
5 |
1 |
31 |
UMiss defense leads the nation giving |
| 12 |
LSU |
4 |
1 |
24 |
up just 1.8 yards per rush. |
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Northwestern |
2 |
3 |
19 |
Savvy Index rates this as a |
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Maryland |
3 |
2 |
28 |
high potential for an upset. |
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Missouri |
4 |
1 |
43 |
I think Savvy’s spread is a |
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Massachusetts |
1 |
5 |
7 |
little high on this one. |
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Air Force |
1 |
4 |
27 |
Air Force had to replace 18 |
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New Mexico |
1 |
4 |
28 |
starters from last year. |
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Georgia Tech |
4 |
2 |
37 |
Savvy rates this as a solid, nearly |
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N Carolina |
3 |
3 |
20 |
fool-proof prediction. |
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Syracuse |
4 |
1 |
37 |
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N Carolina St. |
3 |
3 |
20 |
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Stanford |
2 |
3 |
10 |
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| 6 |
Notre Dame |
4 |
1 |
42 |
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| 1 |
Texas |
5 |
0 |
31 |
I think the final spread will |
| 13 |
Oklahoma |
4 |
1 |
21 |
be 16 or more. |
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California |
3 |
2 |
21 |
This should be a great game |
| 25 |
Pittsburgh |
5 |
0 |
32 |
that is played well. |
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UTSA |
2 |
3 |
34 |
High upset rating. UTSA has a ton |
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Rice |
1 |
4 |
17 |
of negative trends on Savvy Index. |
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Wisconsin |
3 |
2 |
21 |
Rutgers has a big advantage |
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Rutgers |
4 |
1 |
24 |
in Savvy trends this year. |
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Florida |
3 |
2 |
17 |
Over all, Florida is playing well but |
| 11 |
Tennessee |
4 |
1 |
40 |
rotating two disappointing qbs. |
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Arkansas St. |
3 |
2 |
21 |
TSU’s losses have been by |
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Texas St. |
3 |
2 |
38 |
four total points. |
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Cincinnati |
3 |
2 |
31 |
Betting lines favor |
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UCF |
3 |
2 |
26 |
UCF by about 3.5. |
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Minnesota |
3 |
3 |
31 |
Gophers will triple the book- |
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UCLA |
1 |
4 |
13 |
makers’ 6 point spread. |
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| 3 |
Penn St. |
5 |
0 |
33 |
PSU will stifle USC’s rush. |
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USC |
3 |
2 |
17 |
USC is Savvy-projected now for 7-5. |
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Memphis |
4 |
1 |
40 |
I agree with 60 total points but the |
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USF |
2 |
3 |
20 |
bookies are too low at 6.5 margin. |
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UNLV |
4 |
1 |
49 |
UNLV will have a 20 point |
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Utah St. |
1 |
4 |
16 |
lead by halftime. |
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| 21 |
Louisville |
3 |
2 |
30 |
Personally, I think Vegas and Savvy |
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Virginia |
4 |
1 |
25 |
have this prediction backward. |
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| 8 |
Clemson |
4 |
1 |
42 |
I personally think Wake Forest |
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Wake Forest |
2 |
3 |
14 |
gives Clemson a tough game. |
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UTEP |
0 |
5 |
9 |
Vegas says WKU by 19 but it is |
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W Kentucky |
3 |
2 |
42 |
going to be much higher. |
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Akron |
1 |
5 |
25 |
Akron won’t win much this year |
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W Michigan |
2 |
3 |
31 |
but next year could be a bowl program. |
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| 23 |
Iowa St. |
5 |
0 |
27 |
W Virginia’s offense is heating |
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W Virginia |
3 |
2 |
23 |
up enough to win this. |
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San Diego St. |
2 |
3 |
31 |
Wyoming has found some |
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Wyoming |
1 |
4 |
14 |
terrific momentum. Upset here? |
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Savvy Index vs the betting lines |
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Predicting winners: |
season: |
same as bookmakers |
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Point spreads: |
season: |
Savvy 7 games better |
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Total game points: |
season: |
Savvy 57 games better |
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