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Savvy Index |
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2024 |
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predictions |
week |
6 |
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Savvy prediction accuracy this season |
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09/29/24 |
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| top 25 |
285 – 73 |
wins |
losses |
game values |
comments |
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Michigan St. |
3 |
2 |
17 |
Savvy says both the margin and |
| 9 |
Oregon |
4 |
0 |
31 |
total points will be less than betting odds. |
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Colorado St. |
2 |
2 |
14 |
Oregon State is clearly |
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Oregon St. |
3 |
1 |
35 |
a three possession favorite. |
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| 11 |
Michigan |
4 |
1 |
29 |
Bookies say Michigan by |
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Washington |
3 |
2 |
17 |
just 2 points. It will be much more. |
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Navy |
4 |
0 |
37 |
I personally don’t think a 25 point |
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Air Force |
1 |
3 |
12 |
spread is enough. |
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Bowling Green |
1 |
3 |
37 |
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Akron |
1 |
4 |
17 |
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Texas Tech |
4 |
1 |
33 |
I think Savvy has the wrong |
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Arizona |
3 |
1 |
28 |
winner here. I think UofA wins. |
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Kansas |
1 |
4 |
20 |
ASU has turned things around with |
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Arizona St. |
3 |
1 |
34 |
a tough, tough rush defense. |
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| 3 |
Tennessee |
4 |
0 |
39 |
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Arkansas |
3 |
2 |
17 |
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S Alabama |
2 |
3 |
37 |
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Arkansas St. |
2 |
2 |
24 |
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W Michigan |
1 |
3 |
31 |
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Ball St. |
1 |
3 |
21 |
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Utah St. |
1 |
3 |
15 |
Despite Savvy’s 36-pt spread, BSU doesn’t have the trends |
| 21 |
Boise St. |
3 |
1 |
51 |
to think the Broncos will stay in the top 25 for long.
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| 20 |
Miami Fl |
5 |
0 |
33 |
I smell a major |
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California |
3 |
1 |
20 |
upset in the Bay area. |
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E Carolina |
3 |
2 |
34 |
ECU quarterback Garcia has 1315 passing yards |
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Charlotte |
2 |
3 |
13 |
but already 11 interceptions. |
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Old Dominion |
1 |
3 |
26 |
In my personal opinion, |
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Coastal Car |
3 |
1 |
28 |
Old Dominion will win this. |
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Temple |
1 |
4 |
17 |
UConn is one of the top five |
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Connecticut |
3 |
2 |
37 |
fastest rising teams on Savvy’s Index. |
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UCF |
3 |
1 |
29 |
Florida is actually producing net-positive |
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Florida |
2 |
2 |
31 |
trends on Savvy. |
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| 7 |
Clemson |
3 |
1 |
36 |
Everyone favors Clemson but I sense |
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Florida St. |
1 |
4 |
14 |
Florida State finally comes to life. |
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Auburn |
2 |
3 |
23 |
Expect this to be closer |
| 10 |
Georgia |
3 |
1 |
28 |
than experts’ 24 pt spread. |
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Duke |
5 |
0 |
21 |
Former Texas A&M qb Haynes King |
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Georgia Tech |
3 |
2 |
29 |
is thriving at Georgia Tech. |
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Baylor |
2 |
3 |
14 |
This is one of the most solid |
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Iowa St. |
4 |
0 |
32 |
predictions on the board this week. |
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Jacksonville St. |
1 |
3 |
36 |
I expect JSU to finish |
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Kennesaw St. |
0 |
4 |
18 |
the season strong.
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| 25 |
SMU |
4 |
1 |
26 |
Louisville has played stronger |
| 12 |
Louisville |
3 |
1 |
33 |
opponents and played them well. |
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James Madison |
4 |
0 |
35 |
Two new coaches and both |
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LA Monroe |
3 |
1 |
16 |
are exceeding what I projected in August. |
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App State |
2 |
2 |
24 |
Marshall should |
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Marshall |
2 |
2 |
28 |
win this pretty easily. |
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| 23 |
USC |
3 |
1 |
31 |
Minnesota is going to be a |
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Minnesota |
2 |
3 |
20 |
tough “out” for USC. |
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Rutgers |
4 |
0 |
23 |
I agree with Savvy that Rutgers wins this |
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Nebraska |
4 |
1 |
22 |
although betting lines favor Nebraska. |
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| 23 |
Pittsburgh |
4 |
0 |
42 |
Betting lines show one possession |
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N Carolina |
3 |
2 |
21 |
but Pitt is playing really well. |
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Wake Forest |
1 |
3 |
25 |
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N Carolina St. |
3 |
2 |
32 |
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Massachusetts |
1 |
4 |
18 |
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N Illinois |
2 |
2 |
32 |
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| 24 |
Indiana |
5 |
0 |
37 |
Indiana has a ton of positive trends on Savvy. |
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Northwestern |
2 |
2 |
10 |
NWestern has nearly as many negatives. |
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| 16 |
Iowa |
3 |
1 |
21 |
Iowa’s ball control and rush defense |
| 4 |
Ohio St. |
4 |
0 |
31 |
should keep the margin within 10. |
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W Virginia |
2 |
2 |
28 |
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Oklahoma St. |
3 |
2 |
30 |
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UCLA |
1 |
3 |
17 |
Savvy projects UCLA actually |
| 5 |
Penn St. |
4 |
0 |
30 |
staying in this against PSU. |
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Hawai’i |
2 |
2 |
24 |
Betting lines favor San Diego State |
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San Diego St. |
1 |
3 |
21 |
but performance trends on Savvy favor Hawai’i. |
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Nevada |
2 |
3 |
17 |
SJSU’s Nick Nash already |
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San Jose St. |
3 |
1 |
38 |
has 50 receptions, tops in America. |
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| 8 |
Mississippi |
4 |
1 |
33 |
Miss isn’t going to lose |
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S Carolina |
3 |
1 |
22 |
two in a row. |
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Louisiana |
3 |
1 |
41 |
Despite a 15-pt Vegas spread, |
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S Miss |
1 |
3 |
14 |
Louisiana will win this by over 20. |
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Virginia Tech |
2 |
3 |
27 |
If Stanford starts frosh Elijah Brown |
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Stanford |
2 |
2 |
25 |
at qb, the Cardinal will probably win this. |
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Houston |
1 |
4 |
23 |
TCU qb Josh Hoover leads the |
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TCU |
3 |
2 |
30 |
nation in pass completions. |
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| 17 |
Missouri |
4 |
0 |
29 |
Savvy says Mizzou despite |
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Texas A&M |
4 |
1 |
21 |
bookmakers favoring A&M. |
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Miami Oh |
1 |
3 |
14 |
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Toledo |
3 |
1 |
33 |
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Texas St. |
2 |
2 |
33 |
Texas St. qb Jordan McCloud |
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Troy |
1 |
4 |
22 |
is having a great year. |
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Army |
4 |
0 |
39 |
Powerful Army qb Noah Short |
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Tulsa |
1 |
4 |
15 |
averages 13.8 yards per carry.
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Tulane |
3 |
2 |
46 |
Tulane will beat the |
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UAB |
1 |
3 |
12 |
14-pt Vegas spread. |
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Syracuse |
3 |
1 |
23 |
UNLV is on a path to the |
| 22 |
UNLV |
4 |
0 |
34 |
national playoff. |
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Sam Houston |
4 |
1 |
40 |
Vegas says SHSU by just |
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UTEP |
0 |
4 |
10 |
10.5. Is that just the first half? |
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| 2 |
Alabama |
4 |
0 |
39 |
Vanderbilt is one of the hottest teams on |
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Vanderbilt |
2 |
2 |
21 |
Savvy but not enough to beat Alabama. |
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Boston Col |
4 |
1 |
32 |
Experts say Virginia will |
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Virginia |
3 |
1 |
20 |
win at home by 2.5. |
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Purdue |
1 |
3 |
19 |
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Wisconsin |
2 |
2 |
32 |
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Savvy Index vs the betting lines |
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Predicting winners: |
last week: |
same as bookmakers |
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Point spreads: |
last week: |
Savvy 11 games better |
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Total game points: |
last week: |
Savvy 26 games better |
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