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Savvy Index |
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2023 |
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predictions |
week |
11 |
11/11/23 |
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11/05/23 |
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| top 25 |
This season: 495-164 |
wins |
losses |
game values |
notes |
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Washington St. |
4 |
5 |
33 |
Even the experts can’t find a |
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California |
3 |
6 |
31 |
spread for this one. (11/5/23) |
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Arizona |
6 |
3 |
33 |
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Colorado |
4 |
5 |
26 |
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USC |
7 |
3 |
30 |
Oregon leads the nation for most |
| 5 |
Oregon |
8 |
1 |
41 |
positive trends on savvygameline. |
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Stanford |
3 |
6 |
19 |
Stanford is 0-3 |
| 18 |
Oregon St. |
7 |
2 |
40 |
against ranked teams. |
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Arizona St. |
2 |
7 |
17 |
I’m sure you’re not surprised |
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UCLA |
6 |
3 |
31 |
that there is a very high upset alert here. |
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| 19 |
Utah |
7 |
2 |
24 |
Guess who Duck fans |
| 7 |
Washington |
9 |
0 |
30 |
are rooting for? |
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Auburn |
5 |
4 |
27 |
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Arkansas |
3 |
6 |
25 |
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| FCS |
Holy Cross |
6 |
3 |
28 |
I agree with Savvy… The Crusaders |
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Army |
3 |
6 |
34 |
will give Army a good game. |
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New Mexico |
3 |
6 |
20 |
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Boise St. |
4 |
5 |
46 |
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Virginia Tech |
4 |
5 |
23 |
This is truly a toss-up but BC has been |
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Boston Col |
6 |
3 |
24 |
more consistent. If this is VaTech’s “on” week, the Hokies will win.
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Ohio |
6 |
3 |
28 |
This has high upset potential because |
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Buffalo |
3 |
6 |
20 |
Ohio is sliding in Savvy-metrics. |
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Iowa St. |
5 |
4 |
22 |
Minor upset. |
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BYU |
5 |
4 |
24 |
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Memphis |
7 |
2 |
36 |
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Charlotte |
3 |
6 |
21 |
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Georgia Tech |
5 |
4 |
21 |
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Clemson |
5 |
4 |
36 |
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Texas St. |
6 |
3 |
23 |
Bookies say CCU by 1.5. Savvy |
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Coastal Car |
6 |
3 |
36 |
has it at 13 and trends support that bigger margin. |
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San Diego St. |
3 |
6 |
30 |
SDSU has lost 6 of its last 7. |
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Colorado St. |
3 |
6 |
24 |
I think CSU takes this at home. |
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E Carolina |
1 |
8 |
21 |
Watch for new coach Tom Herman to get |
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Florida Atl. |
4 |
5 |
28 |
an impressive offer in the next five weeks. |
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Miami Fl |
6 |
3 |
20 |
Do you think Miami fans approve |
| 3 |
Florida St. |
9 |
0 |
35 |
of Cristobal being 6-4 after this game. |
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| 12 |
Mississippi |
8 |
1 |
27 |
Mississippi is going to |
| 4 |
Georgia |
9 |
0 |
33 |
make a game of this. |
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App State |
5 |
4 |
30 |
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Georgia St. |
6 |
3 |
31 |
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| 17 |
Air Force |
8 |
1 |
38 |
I didn’t like Savvy putting Air Force |
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Hawai’i |
3 |
7 |
15 |
into the top 10 in October. 17th is better. |
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Cincinnati |
2 |
7 |
29 |
I can’t figure out what Savvy |
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Houston |
4 |
5 |
28 |
sees in UC in this prediction. |
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Indiana |
3 |
5 |
18 |
I dunno . . . Indiana has played tougher opponents |
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Illinois |
4 |
5 |
28 |
and played them better than has Illinois. |
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Rutgers |
6 |
3 |
14 |
Don’t be fooled… AD forced Ferentz out. |
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Iowa |
7 |
2 |
27 |
Iowa players send a message this week. |
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Connecticut |
1 |
8 |
17 |
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| 11 |
James Madison |
9 |
0 |
38 |
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Texas Tech |
4 |
5 |
30 |
I doubt TTU comes within a touchdown. |
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Kansas |
7 |
2 |
31 |
Metrics aren’t that strong. |
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Baylor |
3 |
6 |
17 |
Savvy says this is an “under” – |
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Kansas St. |
6 |
3 |
38 |
“under” game on spread and points. |
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Bowling Green |
5 |
4 |
27 |
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Kent St. |
1 |
8 |
21 |
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| 8 |
Alabama |
8 |
1 |
30 |
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Kentucky |
6 |
3 |
21 |
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Old Dominion |
4 |
5 |
19 |
I’m pretty sure Liberty |
| 10 |
Liberty |
9 |
0 |
40 |
will exceed the 13 pt Vegas spread. |
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S Miss |
2 |
7 |
24 |
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Louisiana |
5 |
4 |
37 |
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Virginia |
2 |
7 |
17 |
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| 14 |
Louisville |
8 |
1 |
39 |
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| 22 |
Troy |
7 |
2 |
39 |
No ULM qb has been successful so |
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LA Monroe |
2 |
7 |
0 |
I’m thinking there is a system problem. |
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Sam Houston |
1 |
8 |
27 |
Oddmakers say this will be 7+ spread for |
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LA Tech |
3 |
7 |
28 |
LATech but I think it will be closer. |
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Florida |
5 |
4 |
26 |
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| 25 |
LSU |
6 |
3 |
40 |
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Georgia So. |
6 |
3 |
28 |
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Marshall |
4 |
5 |
27 |
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Akron |
2 |
7 |
10 |
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Miami Oh |
7 |
2 |
35 |
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Florida Intl. |
4 |
5 |
23 |
McCarthy is a good coach but FIU is |
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Middle Tenn |
2 |
7 |
30 |
a bad, bad situation under current AD+. |
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| 23 |
Tennessee |
7 |
2 |
28 |
Tennessee has leveled off while |
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Missouri |
7 |
2 |
24 |
Mizz is surging. Good upset shot here. |
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UAB |
3 |
6 |
31 |
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Navy |
3 |
5 |
26 |
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Maryland |
5 |
4 |
25 |
I disagree with Vegas and Savvy. Maryland is |
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Nebraska |
5 |
4 |
24 |
caving. Nebraska will win this. |
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Duke |
6 |
3 |
24 |
This should be one of the |
| 24 |
N Carolina |
7 |
2 |
30 |
most-certain predictions this week. |
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Ball St. |
2 |
7 |
21 |
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N Illinois |
4 |
5 |
27 |
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Michigan St. |
3 |
6 |
0 |
MSU had 21 players on the injury |
| 2 |
Ohio St. |
8 |
0 |
38 |
list as of Monday. |
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W Virginia |
6 |
3 |
24 |
WVirginia is second only to |
| 16 |
Oklahoma |
7 |
2 |
36 |
Oregon for most positive trends on Savvy. |
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| 1 |
Michigan |
9 |
0 |
26 |
Upset prediction. |
| 6 |
Penn St. |
8 |
1 |
27 |
PSU is ready for this. |
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Minnesota |
5 |
4 |
28 |
Best money grab on the board. |
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Purdue |
2 |
7 |
21 |
Minnesota will win this despite Vegas. |
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| 15 |
Fresno St. |
8 |
1 |
33 |
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San Jose St. |
4 |
4 |
27 |
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N Texas |
3 |
6 |
24 |
SMU qb Preston Stone is still |
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SMU |
7 |
2 |
42 |
not clear to play as of Monday. |
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Arkansas St. |
5 |
4 |
22 |
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S Alabama |
4 |
5 |
35 |
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Vanderbilt |
2 |
8 |
23 |
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S Carolina |
3 |
6 |
37 |
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Pittsburgh |
2 |
7 |
26 |
Syracuse leads the nation in negative |
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Syracuse |
4 |
5 |
25 |
trends (22) since October 1. |
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| 9 |
Texas |
8 |
1 |
31 |
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TCU |
4 |
5 |
23 |
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Mississippi St. |
4 |
5 |
22 |
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Texas A&M |
5 |
4 |
28 |
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E Michigan |
4 |
5 |
17 |
I don’t see Toledo being 19 |
| 20 |
Toledo |
8 |
1 |
31 |
points better as bookmakers say. |
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Tulsa |
3 |
6 |
18 |
Tulsa is one of three teams for the |
| 13 |
Tulane |
8 |
1 |
36 |
most negative trends on Savvy this year. |
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Oklahoma St. |
7 |
2 |
32 |
OSU started horribly slow but |
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UCF |
4 |
5 |
28 |
is rolling big time right now. |
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Wyoming |
6 |
3 |
27 |
What a magnificent job coach |
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UNLV |
7 |
2 |
32 |
Barry Odom has done at UNLV. |
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Temple |
3 |
6 |
28 |
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USF |
4 |
5 |
36 |
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Nevada |
2 |
7 |
24 |
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Utah St. |
4 |
5 |
35 |
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Rice |
4 |
5 |
21 |
Experts say UTSA by only 12. |
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UTSA |
6 |
3 |
39 |
I’m sure it will be over 16. |
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N Carolina St. |
6 |
3 |
26 |
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Wake Forest |
4 |
5 |
21 |
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Northwestern |
4 |
5 |
14 |
Fickell magic fleeting. The Badgers |
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Wisconsin |
5 |
4 |
31 |
have lost 3 of its last 4. |
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New Mexico St. |
7 |
3 |
24 |
Great job by coach Kill at NMSU. Who |
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W Kentucky |
5 |
3 |
31 |
woulda thought Aggies would ever be 7-3? |
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C Michigan |
5 |
4 |
28 |
Savvygameline calls this for WMU |
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W Michigan |
3 |
6 |
29 |
only because it is a home game. |
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2023 Savvy Index vs the betting lines |
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Predicting winners: |
Savvy |
1% better |
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Point spreads: |
Savvy |
same |
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Total game points: |
Savvy |
46 games better |
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Savvy Game Line 