Predictions for all FBS games in week 4

  Savvy Index   2023    
09/17/23 predictions
 week 4 09/23/23  
  Savvy last week: 61 – 14       09/17/23
top 25 This season: 213 – 41 wins losses game values notes
7 USC 3 0 44 Arizona State is dead last in the
  Arizona St. 1 2 14 nation for turnover margin.
         
  Colorado 3 0 28 I’m a Deion fan but he doesn’t
8 Oregon 3 0 42 have enough to win this.
         
  Arizona 2 1 28  
  Stanford 1 2 27  
         
16 UCLA 3 0 25 UCLA is rising with Moore.
21 Utah 3 0 21 Utah is falling without Rising.
         
  California 2 1 14  
6 Washington 3 0 42  
         
9 Oregon St. 3 0 35 Next year, these two may be automatci
  Washington St. 3 0 28 qualifiers for the PAC-2 champtionship!
         
20 Mississippi 3 0 30 Neither team is playing up to
17 Alabama 2 1 31 expectations.
         
  S Miss 1 2 32  
  Arkansas St. 1 2 24  
         
  Georgia So. 2 1 31 Bookies see this game getting
  Ball St. 1 2 21 over 58 pts.
         
12 Texas 3 0 38  
  Baylor 1 2 10  
         
  Ohio 3 1 31  
  Bowling Green 1 2 14  
         
17 Oklahoma 3 0 33 I’m a Veneble fan so it’s nice to see
24 Cincinnati 2 1 31 OU starting strong.
         
11 Florida St. 3 0 35 FSU’s Jordan Travis is having
  Clemson 2 1 28 an All American year.
         
  Georgia St. 3 0 28  
  Coastal Car 2 1 31  
         
  Duke 3 0 38  
  Connecticut 0 3 10  
         
FCS Furman 1 2 27  
  E Carolina 0 3 30  
         
  Charlotte 1 2 17  
  Florida 2 1 34  
         
19 Liberty 3 0 37 Liberty is catching fire under new
  Florida Intl. 3 1 20 coach Jamie Chadwell.
         
  Kent St. 1 2 10  
14 Fresno St. 3 0 43  
         
  UAB 1 2 14  
3 Georgia 3 0 39  
         
  New Mexico St. 2 2 34 Savvy disagrees with experts
  Hawai’i 1 3 27 who call this for the Rainbows.
         
  Sam Houston 0 2 17  
  Houston 1 2 28  
         
  Florida Atl. 1 2 17 This has huge upset potential, esp.
  Illinois 1 2 28 with Illinois’ terrible turnover margin.
         
  Akron 1 2 16  
  Indiana 1 2 27  
         
  Oklahoma St. 2 1 25 OSU wins more often than it
  Iowa St. 1 2 17 loses against ISU.
         
  E Michigan 3 1 23  
  Jacksonville St. 2 1 24  
         
  BYU 3 0 28 Upset… Vegas sees
  Kansas 3 0 24 Kansas by 8.5/
         
15 UCF 3 0 26  
18 Kansas St. 2 1 27  
         
  Buffalo 0 3 21  
  Louisiana 2 1 42  
         
  Boston Col 1 2 17 I think Savvy is projecting the
  Louisville 3 0 44 total points too high but we’ll see.
         
  Arkansas 2 1 24  
  LSU 2 1 32  
         
  Virginia Tech 1 2 20  
  Marshall 2 0 30  
         
  New Mexico 1 2 27  
  Massachusetts 1 3 31  
         
FCS Delaware 1 1 24  
  Miami Oh 2 1 33  
         
  Rutgers 3 0 10 Rutgers has a good shot at winning
1 Michigan 3 0 28 this if the Knights can hold onto the ball.
         
  Maryland 3 0 28 Maryland has played tough opponents well
  Michigan St. 2 1 20 so why do Savvy and Vegas have slim spreads?
         
  Colorado St. 0 2 31 Vegas says MTSU by 2 but CSU has
  Middle Tenn 1 2 30 momentum and firepower now.
         
  Memphis 3 0 27  
  Missouri 3 0 28  
         
  LA Tech 2 2 24 Okay yeah … Nebraska wins
  Nebraska 1 2 28 but not by 20 as experts say.
         
  Tulsa 1 2 31 Experts say NIU wins this but
  N Illinois 1 2 21 Savvy says UT by more than 3.
         
  Minnesota 2 1 32 Northwestern leads the nation by a big
  Northwestern 1 2 13 margin when it comes to turnovers.
         
5 Ohio St. 3 0 26 Bookies favor OSU by 2.
2 Notre Dame 4 0 28  
         
FCS Tex A&M Com 0 2 14 TAMC qb Peter Parrish has thrown
  Old Dominion 1 2 43 4 interceptions in just 36 total pass attempts.
         
10 Iowa 3 0 21  
4 Penn St. 3 0 28  
         
23 N Carolina 3 0 31  
  Pittsburgh 1 2 19  
         
  Wisconsin 2 1 32 Vegas says single-digit win
  Purdue 1 2 23 for UW but Savvy says double-digits.
         
  Boise St. 1 2 24 Oddsmakers say BSU by 7
  San Diego St. 2 2 30 so this is an upset prediction.
         
13 Air Force 3 0 37 Bookies say AFA by three.
  San Jose St. 1 3 16 It will be at least three times that.
         
  C Michigan 1 2 17 Experts say 14.5??
  S Alabama 2 1 37 Nah, this will be 20-plus.
         
  Mississippi St. 2 1 30 Vegas favors S Carolina.
  S Carolina 1 2 23  
         
  Army 2 1 22 Syracuse gives up just 9 ppg with a
  Syracuse 3 0 34 cover guys who are fantastic.
         
  SMU 2 1 28  
  TCU 2 1 30  
         
  Miami Fl 3 0 36 Keep an eye on this one. Miami
  Temple 2 1 17 has too many negative trends for a 3-0 team.
         
  UTSA 1 2 19  
25 Tennessee 2 1 28  
         
  Auburn 3 0 33 Vegas likes Tex A&M by seven
  Texas A&M 2 1 24 so this is another upset prediction.
         
  Nevada 0 3 24  
  Texas St. 2 1 41  
         
  W Michigan 1 2 21  
  Toledo 2 1 35  
         
  W Kentucky 2 1 29 I dunno… I personally see more reasons
  Troy 1 2 30 to favor WKU than Troy.
         
FCS Nicholls 0 2 7  
  Tulane 2 1 43  
         
  Rice 2 1 31  
  USF 1 2 27  
         
  James Madison 3 0 36  
  Utah St. 1 2 24  
         
  UNLV 2 1 30  
  UTEP 1 3 21  
         
  Kentucky 3 0 31 Kentucky only beat Vandy by
  Vanderbilt 2 2 21 three points last year.
         
  N Carolina St. 2 1 39 NCSU is struggling because it puts its
  Virginia 0 3 18 offense solely on Brennan Armstrong.
         
  Georgia Tech 1 2 20  
  Wake Forest 3 0 41  
         
  Texas Tech 1 2 27 Oddsmakers favor TexTech.
  W Virginia 2 1 30 Personally, so do I.
         
  App State 2 1 27  
  Wyoming 2 1 28  
  2023 Savvy Index vs the betting lines        
  Predicting winners: Savvy 6% better    
  Point spreads: Savvy 2 games worse    
  Total game points: Savvy 15 games better    
this season

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