College football predictions for week 3

  Savvy Index   2023    
09/11/23 predictions week 3 09/16/23  
  Savvy last week: 70-15       09/11/23
top 25 This season: 152-27 wins losses game values notes
  UTEP 1 2 20  
  Arizona 1 1 29  
           
19 Fresno St. 2 0 40 FSU is struggling to rush the football.
  Arizona St. 1 1 17  
           
FCS Idaho 2 0 17 Idaho has every confidence it
  California 1 1 33 can win this game. So do I.
           
  Colorado St. 0 1 18 Bettors say 22.5 is the difference but
  Colorado 2 0 47 Savvy says it’s more like 39.
           
  Hawai’i 1 2 14 Hawai’i averages less than
8 Oregon 2 0 53 2 ypc on the ground.
           
  San Diego St. 2 1 21 I doubt SDSU can put
12 Oregon St. 2 0 34 up 21 on OSU.
           
FCS Sacramento St. 2 0 28 Stanford coach Troy Taylor going
  Stanford 1 1 29 against the program he coached last year.
           
FCS NC Central 2 0 14 Dante Moore has done great as fr qb at
  UCLA 2 0 39 UCLA but I don’t think he is the long term answer.
           
FCS Weber St. 2 0 10 Utah has no passing attack. Easy for
9 Utah 2 0 39 opponents to bring a safety up.
           
10 Washington 2 0 33 We all know the elephant in the room. But,
  Michigan St. 2 0 17 he won’t be in this room.
           
FCS N Colorado 0 2 7  
  Washington St. 2 0 47  
           
  Utah St. 1 1 17  
15 Air Force 2 0 37  
           
  E Carolina 0 2 23  
  App State 1 1 32  
           
  BYU 2 0 21  
  Arkansas 2 0 23  
           
FCS Stony Brook 0 2 14 As bad as this season has been for ASU,
  Arkansas St. 0 2 36 this is a game it can win.
           
FCS Samford 1 1 14 Samford’s win came against Shorter College.
  Auburn 2 0 40  
           
FCS Indiana St. 0 2 10 Indiana State has scored
  Ball St. 0 2 39 just 7 points all year.
           
FCS Long Island 0 2 10 LIU may be the “Sharks” but their
  Baylor 0 2 37 offense is biteless.
           
FCS N Dakota 2 0 20 High risk game for BSU and
  Boise St. 0 2 37 high upset alert.
           
17 Florida St. 2 0 37 FSU is averaging 55 ppg
  Boston Col 1 1 17 and rushing for over 6 ypc.
           
22 Liberty 2 0 43 Oddsmakers say Liberty by
  Buffalo 0 2 17 just 3.5.
           
  Georgia St. 2 0 30  
  Charlotte 1 1 21  
           
  Miami Oh 1 1 13 Interesting that oddsmakers
14 Cincinnati 2 0 43 only favor UC by 14.
           
  Florida Atl. 1 1 20  
21 Clemson 1 1 39  
           
FCS Duquesne 1 1 12 Duquesne is fun because the Dukes
  Coastal Car 1 1 43 really LOVE the long, long pass.
           
  Florida Intl. 2 0 30 Upset prediction.
  Connecticut 0 2 25 Bettors favor UConn by .
           
  Northwestern 1 1 10 Vegas says 47 total points for this one.
  Duke 2 0 31 Savvy says it will be less.
           
  Massachusetts 1 2 21 UMass gives up nearly
  E Michigan 1 1 33 six yards per carry rushing.
           
13 Tennessee 2 0 32 I can’t imagine a 6.5 spread
  Florida 1 1 17 set by the experts.
           
  S Carolina 1 1 21 I smell trouble in
2 Georgia 2 0 36 Dawg nation.
           
  TCU 1 1 32  
  Houston 1 1 30  
           
6 Penn St. 2 0 33  
  Illinois 1 1 17  
           
  W Michigan 1 1 13  
16 Iowa 2 0 36  
           
FCS C Conn St. 1 1 24 KSU hasn’t played well but should
  Kent St. 0 2 29 have just enough to get by CCSU.
           
  Akron 1 1 10 Akron ground game amounts to
  Kentucky 2 0 37 just 1.55 yards per rush.
           
  Louisville 2 0 37 Louisville will get to 4-0
  Indiana 1 1 17 before falling to 4-4.
           
  N Texas 0 2 24 UNT is one of the most under-
  LA Tech 2 1 38 performing outfits in America.
           
  Virginia 0 2 14  
  Maryland 2 0 41  
           
  Navy 1 1 12  
  Memphis 2 0 40  
           
FCS Bethune-Cookman 1 1 13  
  Miami Fl 2 0 44  
           
  Bowling Green 1 1 7  
1 Michigan 2 0 43  
           
FCS Murray St. 1 1 17  
  Middle Tenn 0 2 37  
           
  Georgia Tech 1 1 21  
  Mississippi 2 0 46  
           
  LSU 1 1 25 Upset prediction.
20 Mississippi St. 2 0 33 Vegas favors LSU by 10.
           
7 Kansas St. 2 0 32 Betting lines only favor KSU by about
  Missouri 2 0 17 6 pts but it will be much more.
           
  N Illinois 1 1 20 Low scoring. Very boring. Huskers
  Nebraska 0 2 21 at home by a single point.
           
  Kansas 2 0 40  
  Nevada 0 2 21  
           
  New Mexico St. 1 2 34 Vegas says 50.5 total points but these
  New Mexico 1 1 31 two average 66 so it will be more.
           
  Minnesota 2 0 25 A strange upset prediction
  N Carolina 2 0 24 by Savvy.
           
FCS VMI 1 1 7 NCSU’s rush defense is really
  N Carolina St. 1 1 37 a let down this year.
           
  C Michigan 1 1 7  
3 Notre Dame 3 0 45  
           
  Iowa St. 1 1 17 Savvy Index upset prediction.
  Ohio 2 1 26 I frankly don’t agree.
           
  W Kentucky 2 0 24 WKU can’t stop even weak ground
5 Ohio St. 2 0 34 attacks so the margin here will be 20+.
           
  S Alabama 1 1 21  
  Oklahoma St. 2 0 32  
           
  Wake Forest 2 0 40  
  Old Dominion 1 1 17  
           
  Syracuse 2 0 30 Experts favor Syracuse.
  Purdue 1 1 31 Savvy favors Purdue.
           
FCS Texas Southern 0 2 14 Rice is becoming competitive
  Rice 1 1 39 but the Owls must fix their defense.
           
  Virginia Tech 1 1 19  
  Rutgers 2 0 21  
           
FCS Prairie Vw A&M 1 1 14 Prairie View receiver Brian Jenkins Jr.
  SMU 1 1 37 appears to be one of the best in FCS.
           
  Tulane 1 1 36  
  S Miss 1 1 21  
           
FCS Norfolk St. 1 1 17  
  Temple 1 1 37  
           
  Wyoming 2 0 17  
18 Texas 2 0 37  
           
  LA Monroe 2 0 23 Texas A&M is NOT 36 points
  Texas A&M 1 1 31 better than ULM despite Vegas odds.
           
FCS Jackson St. 2 1 23 JSU isn’t the house of Prime anymore.
  Texas St. 1 1 24 TSU wins this because it is the home team.
           
FCS Tarleton St 2 0 24 Texas Tech is one dimension: Tyler Shough.
  Texas Tech 0 2 46 But Tarleton can’t stop anyone.
           
  San Jose St. 1 2 30 If you haven’t watched qb Dequan Finn
  Toledo 1 1 37 of Toledo, this is a good chance to be entertained.
           
  James Madison 2 0 23 James Madison hasn’t played anyone important.
24 Troy 1 1 36 Troy hasn’t played anyone well.
           
25 Oklahoma 2 0 34 Of course Oklahoma wins. it’s an entire
  Tulsa 1 1 21 state playing just one city.
           
  Louisiana 1 1 31 Savvy disagrees with Vegas’
  UAB 1 1 29 one-point advantage for UAB.
           
FCS Villanova 2 0 14 Villanova running back Jalen
23 UCF 2 0 42 Jackson averages over 10 ypc.
           
  Vanderbilt 2 1 29  
  UNLV 1 1 28  
           
11 Alabama 1 1 48  
  USF 1 1 17  
           
  Army 1 1 13  
  UTSA 1 1 30  
           
  Georgia So. 2 0 21 GaSo has looked good and won’t
  Wisconsin 1 1 32 lose by 19 pts as analysts have posted.
           
  Pittsburgh 1 1 33  
  W Virginia 1 1 21  
  2023 Savvy Index vs the betting lines        
  Predicting winners: Savvy 5% better    
  Point spreads: Savvy 1 game better    
  Total game points: Savvy 19 games better    
           

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