Predictions for college football games in 2023, week 1

  Savvy Index   2023    
08/29/23 predictions week 1 09/02/23  
  Savvy last week: 5-2        
top 25 This season: 5-2 wins losses game rating notes
FCS N Arizona 0 0 20 NAU is a pretty good
  Arizona 0 0 43 FCS opponent.
           
FCS S Utah 0 0 7  
  Arizona St. 0 0 44  
           
  California 0 0 24 Upset prediction. NTU
  N Texas 0 0 27 wins this at home.
           
  Colorado 0 0 13 “Prime” looks good; Buffs?
22 TCU 0 0 48 Not so much.
           
FCS Portland St. 0 0 6 This game will be very close …
10 Oregon 0 0 55 until it starts.
           
15 Oregon St. 0 0 43 DJU will look like D.J. Heisman
  San Jose St. 0 1 24 after this one
           
  Coastal Car 0 0 28 Watch out Bruins. This is
  UCLA 0 0 30 an upset just waiting to happen.
           
  Nevada 0 0 14  
9 USC 1 0 48  
           
  Florida 0 0 17 Utah is going to look like a
7 Utah 0 0 34 playoff team in this one.
           
20 Boise St. 0 0 24 I won’t be surprised
13 Washington 0 0 28 if BSU wins this.
           
  Washington St. 0 0 39  
  Colorado St. 0 0 21  
           
FCS Robert Morris 0 0 0  
17 Air Force 0 0 58  
           
  Middle Tenn 0 0 17 I personally figure this spread
3 Alabama 0 0 42 should be 36.
           
FCS Gardner-Webb 0 0 17  
  App State 0 0 38  
           
FCS W Carolina 0 0 14  
  Arkansas 0 0 42  
           
  Massachusetts 1 0 21 Surprising win by UMass
  Auburn 0 0 43 last week.
           
  Texas St. 0 0 17  
  Baylor 0 0 35  
           
  N Illinois 0 0 21  
  Boston Col 0 0 26  
           
  Sam Houston 0 0 17 Surprisingly narrow margin for
  BYU 0 0 31 BYU vs an FCS.
           
FCS S Carolina St 0 0 21  
  Charlotte 0 0 34  
           
FCS E Kentucky 0 0 12  
19 Cincinnati 0 0 42  
           
  N Carolina St. 0 0 42  
  Connecticut 0 0 24  
           
4 Clemson 0 0 37  
  Duke 0 0 20  
           
FCS Howard 0 0 10  
  E Michigan 0 0 43  
           
FCS Monmouth 0 0 24  
  Florida Atl. 0 0 38  
           
FCS Maine 0 0 21  
  Florida Intl. 0 1 35  
           
12 LSU 0 0 27  
25 Florida St. 0 0 24  
           
FCS Tenn-Martin 0 0 3  
1 Georgia 0 0 52  
           
FCS The Citadel 0 0 17  
  Georgia So. 0 0 38  
           
FCS Rhode Island 0 0 24 RIU is building a good FCS program but
  Georgia St. 0 0 35 won’t win this one.
           
  Louisville 0 0 40 I don’t understand why Vegas
  Georgia Tech 0 0 24 thinks this is a one-possession game.
           
  Stanford 0 0 34  
  Hawai’i 0 1 27  
           
14 UTSA 0 0 35  
  Houston 0 0 24  
           
  Toledo 0 0 26  
  Illinois 0 0 28  
           
6 Ohio St. 0 0 45  
  Indiana 0 0 17  
           
  Utah St. 0 0 21  
23 Iowa 0 0 39  
           
FCS N Iowa 0 0 17  
  Iowa St. 0 0 34  
           
FCS E Tennesse St. 0 0 20  
  Jacksonville St. 1 0 32  
           
FCS Bucknell 0 0 10  
  James Madison 0 0 41  
           
FCS Missouri St. 0 0 20  
  Kansas 0 0 35  
           
FCS S E Missouri St. 0 0 10 SEMS is a pretty good FCS team but
11 Kansas St. 0 0 40 KSU has been climbing fast.
           
  Ball St. 0 0 17  
  Kentucky 0 0 31  
           
  Bowling Green 0 0 17 Liberty will at least double the 10-point
  Liberty 0 0 45 spread offered by Vegas.
           
FCS N’western St. 0 0 10  
  Louisiana 0 0 50  
           
  Army 0 0 33  
  LA Monroe 0 0 21  
           
FCS Albany 0 0 3  
  Marshall 0 0 48  
           
FCS Towson 0 0 14  
  Maryland 0 0 43  
           
FCS Bethune-Cookman 0 0 17  
  Memphis 0 0 47  
           
  Miami Oh 0 0 23 I tend to agree more with the bettors
  Miami Fl 0 0 28 who favor Mi (f) by three tds.
           
  E Carolina 0 0 21  
2 Michigan 0 0 40  
           
  C Michigan 0 0 15 I personally think this will be MSU
  Michigan St. 0 0 24 by 10+ and about 45 total points.
           
  Nebraska 0 0 21 Betting line for total points is set
  Minnesota 0 0 38 at 43.5 but that is too low.
           
FCS Mercer 0 0 20  
  Mississippi 0 0 48  
           
FCS S E Louisiana 0 0 17 SELA is coming to win and has enough
  Mississippi St. 0 0 34 talent to pull off an upset.
           
FCS S Dakota 0 0 14  
  Missouri 0 0 43  
           
FCS W Illinois 0 0 14 NMSU suffered an awful loss last week.
  New Mexico St. 0 1 49  
           
FCS Tennessee St. 0 0 0  
5 Notre Dame 1 0 53  
           
FCS Long Island 0 0 13  
  Ohio 0 1 44  
           
  Arkansas St. 0 0 21 Vegas says under 60 total
  Oklahoma 0 0 53 pts but it will be more.
           
FCS C Arkansas 0 0 7  
  Oklahoma St. 0 0 53  
           
  W Virginia 0 0 17  
8 Penn St. 0 0 42  
           
FCS Wofford 0 0 0 Yes, Wofford is that bad.
  Pittsburgh 0 0 54 No, Pitt isn’t that good.
           
24 Fresno St. 0 0 30 Upset prediction. Bettors favor
  Purdue 0 0 24 Purdue by four.
           
  Northwestern 0 0 21 How does downtrodden Rutgers
  Rutgers 0 0 24 get 50,000 fans every week?
           
FCS Idaho St. 0 0 0 I don’t see how SDSU gets enough of a
  San Diego St. 1 0 45 passing attack to score 45 but we’ll see.
           
  LA Tech 1 0 21 La Tech didn’t look good
  SMU 0 0 35 last week.
           
  N Carolina 0 0 33  
  S Carolina 0 0 30  
           
FCS Alcorn St. 0 0 14  
  S Miss 0 0 36  
           
FCS Colgate 0 0 17 Syracuse needs a win here a lot
  Syracuse 0 0 48 more than Colgate.
           
  Akron 0 0 24  
  Temple 0 0 28  
           
  Virginia 0 0 7  
16 Tennessee 0 0 40  
           
  Rice 0 0 14  
  Texas 0 0 41  
           
  New Mexico 0 0 20 This clearly rates as a game
  Texas A&M 0 0 40 with 60 total points, not 49 per Vegas.
           
FCS Stephen F Austin 0 0 13 This should be closer than 30. I just
18 Troy 0 0 43 don’t believe Troy is a top 25 team.
           
  S Alabama 0 0 24  
21 Tulane 0 0 34  
           
FCS Ark Pine Bluff 0 0 14  
  Tulsa 0 0 41  
           
FCS N Carolina A&T 0 0 21 Despite a 12-point spread by Savvy,
  UAB 0 0 33 this has a very high upset rating.
           
  Kent St. 0 0 21 I don’t buy a 37 point
  UCF 0 0 40 betting line that Vegas has set.
           
FCS Bryant 0 0 21 UNLV looks better than expected
  UNLV 0 0 39 so far in off season workouts.
           
FCS Incarnate Word 0 0 28 FCS upset prediction.
  UTEP 0 1 21 ICWU nearly won the FCS title last year.
           
FCS Alabama A&M 0 0 20  
  Vanderbilt 1 0 38  
           
  Old Dominion 0 0 24  
  Virginia Tech 0 0 32  
           
FCS Elon 0 0 21 Elon is a top-third
  Wake Forest 0 0 43 FCS team.
           
  Buffalo 0 0 21 I like the betting line of 28
  Wisconsin 0 0 40 points more than Savvy’s 19.
           
  USF 0 0 17 The 11.5 betting line
  W Kentucky 0 0 44 is way too small.
           
FCS St. Francis (Pa) 0 0 35 Yup . . . St. Francis is
  W Michigan 0 0 36 good enough to win this.
           
  Texas Tech 0 0 34  
  Wyoming 0 0 24  
  2023 Savvy Index vs the betting lines        
  Predicting winners: Savvy same as betting lines    
  Point spreads: Savvy 3 games better    
  Total game points: Savvy 1 game better    
  savvygameline.com        
           

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