| |
Savvy Index |
|
2022 |
|
|
| |
predictions |
week |
6 |
|
|
| |
week 5: 43-20 68% |
season vs betting lines >> |
spreads: -9 total pts: + 44 |
|
reposted 10/4/2022
|
| top 25 |
season: 291-87 77% |
wins |
losses |
game rating |
notes |
| 11 |
Oregon |
4 |
1 |
45 |
How on earth do oddsmakers hav |
| |
Arizona |
3 |
2 |
24 |
this at just 11.5 spread? |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Washington |
4 |
1 |
35 |
Washington should win three |
| |
Arizona St. |
1 |
4 |
21 |
in a row now. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Oregon St. |
3 |
2 |
38 |
Really careful with this game because |
| |
Stanford |
1 |
3 |
24 |
both teams turn the ball over like crazy. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 6 |
Utah |
4 |
1 |
35 |
If I was to wager, I would definitely |
| 19 |
UCLA |
5 |
0 |
24 |
choose this game with “over” on the Vegas 3-point spread. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 22 |
Washington St. |
4 |
1 |
24 |
I personally think WSU |
| 10 |
USC |
5 |
0 |
31 |
wins this. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Texas A&M |
3 |
2 |
17 |
The grudge game we’ve all |
| 2 |
Alabama |
5 |
0 |
37 |
been waiting for. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
James Madison |
4 |
0 |
37 |
Great to see Arkansas St. |
| |
Arkansas St. |
2 |
3 |
24 |
starting to climb under coach Butch Jones. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Fresno St. |
1 |
3 |
20 |
If anything, the final margin will be |
| |
Boise St. |
3 |
2 |
28 |
greater than seven points. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 7 |
Clemson |
4 |
0 |
42 |
Clemson’s trend lines on Savvy are moving |
| |
Boston Col |
2 |
3 |
17 |
slowly but all are upward. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Buffalo |
2 |
3 |
35 |
I think oddsmakers are off |
| |
Bowling Green |
2 |
3 |
27 |
in favoring Bowling Green. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
USF |
1 |
4 |
13 |
|
| 9 |
Cincinnati |
4 |
1 |
50 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Ball St. |
2 |
3 |
30 |
I think Vegas and Savvy are |
| |
C Michigan |
1 |
4 |
32 |
both wrong and Ball St. wins. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Missouri |
2 |
3 |
24 |
|
| |
Florida |
3 |
2 |
32 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Connecticut |
2 |
4 |
32 |
Terrific job so far by UConn’s |
| |
Florida Intl. |
2 |
2 |
27 |
coach Jim Mora. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Auburn |
3 |
2 |
14 |
Oddsmakers say the final will |
| 5 |
Georgia |
5 |
0 |
34 |
be approx 39-9. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Georgia So. |
3 |
2 |
31 |
Savvy and Vegas both think Geo St wins this |
| |
Georgia St. |
1 |
4 |
32 |
but that just will not happen. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Duke |
4 |
1 |
31 |
Both teams with recent up-trends |
| |
Georgia Tech |
2 |
2 |
20 |
on Savvy. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Iowa |
3 |
2 |
18 |
|
| 14 |
Illinois |
4 |
1 |
20 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 3 |
Michigan |
5 |
0 |
41 |
|
| |
Indiana |
3 |
2 |
14 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Kansas St. |
4 |
1 |
25 |
|
| |
Iowa St. |
3 |
2 |
21 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 25 |
TCU |
4 |
0 |
34 |
I’m starting to think that KU’s Lance |
| |
Kansas |
5 |
0 |
30 |
Leopold is the best coach in the nation. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
S Carolina |
3 |
2 |
24 |
|
| 20 |
Kentucky |
4 |
1 |
29 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Coastal Car |
5 |
0 |
42 |
|
| |
LA Monroe |
2 |
3 |
18 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
UTEP |
3 |
2 |
34 |
Betting lines say LouTech will |
| |
LA Tech |
1 |
3 |
24 |
win but I agree with Savvy— UTEP wins. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 17 |
Tennessee |
4 |
0 |
28 |
Vegas favors Tennessee but I |
| 18 |
LSU |
4 |
1 |
30 |
don’t see how the Vols win this. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Purdue |
3 |
2 |
27 |
|
| 16 |
Maryland |
4 |
1 |
33 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Liberty |
4 |
1 |
38 |
Liberty is struggling because qb |
| |
Massachusetts |
1 |
4 |
10 |
play has been horrid. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Houston |
2 |
3 |
32 |
I’m pretty sure that betting |
| |
Memphis |
4 |
1 |
33 |
lines of 57 total points are too low. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 21 |
N Carolina |
4 |
1 |
34 |
Oddsmakers see Miami by 4+ |
| |
Miami Fl |
2 |
2 |
32 |
but the Hurricanes are way, way underperforming. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Kent St. |
2 |
3 |
26 |
Betting lines favor |
| |
Miami Oh |
2 |
3 |
27 |
Kent State by 3+. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
Ohio St. |
5 |
0 |
39 |
I can’t imagine OSU winning by just 13.5 |
| |
Michigan St. |
2 |
3 |
17 |
as betting lines suggest. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Arkansas |
3 |
2 |
28 |
|
| 15 |
Mississippi St. |
4 |
1 |
30 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Tulsa |
2 |
3 |
31 |
|
| |
Navy |
1 |
3 |
20 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Colorado St. |
0 |
4 |
24 |
Look for total points to |
| |
Nevada |
1 |
3 |
35 |
exceed Vegas’ 47 points. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Wyoming |
3 |
3 |
28 |
Betting lines say total points 37.5. |
| |
New Mexico |
2 |
3 |
20 |
Definitely will be more. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Florida St. |
4 |
1 |
24 |
|
| |
N Carolina St. |
3 |
2 |
29 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Toledo |
3 |
2 |
32 |
|
| |
N Illinois |
1 |
4 |
28 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Wisconsin |
2 |
3 |
30 |
|
| |
Northwestern |
1 |
4 |
17 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 25 |
BYU |
4 |
1 |
28 |
Vegas says Irish by one possession and won’t |
| |
Notre Dame |
2 |
2 |
27 |
give total points. Savvy will: 55 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Akron |
1 |
4 |
30 |
|
| |
Ohio |
2 |
3 |
33 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 13 |
Texas |
3 |
2 |
35 |
Odd that the nation’s bettors |
| |
Oklahoma |
3 |
2 |
27 |
favor plummeting Oklahoma. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Texas Tech |
3 |
2 |
27 |
|
| 4 |
Oklahoma St. |
4 |
0 |
40 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Virginia Tech |
2 |
3 |
14 |
This is the most solid prediction |
| |
Pittsburgh |
3 |
2 |
31 |
on Savvy in week 6. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Nebraska |
2 |
3 |
28 |
|
| |
Rutgers |
3 |
2 |
27 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Hawai’i |
1 |
4 |
14 |
Hawai’i currently ranks dead last |
| |
San Diego St. |
2 |
3 |
37 |
in Savvy Index FBS rankings. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
UNLV |
4 |
1 |
24 |
San Jose State has found some |
| |
San Jose St. |
3 |
1 |
30 |
solutions in the past three games. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
App State |
3 |
2 |
36 |
|
| |
Texas St. |
2 |
3 |
17 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
S Miss |
2 |
2 |
20 |
Both of these teams have |
| |
Troy |
3 |
2 |
30 |
terrific metrics in the Savvy Index. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
E Carolina |
3 |
2 |
27 |
ECU will win this despite Vegas’ odds |
| |
Tulane |
4 |
1 |
24 |
favoring Tulane and Tulane playing very well. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Middle Tenn |
3 |
2 |
27 |
|
| |
UAB |
2 |
2 |
31 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
SMU |
2 |
3 |
30 |
Betting lines favor |
| |
UCF |
4 |
1 |
28 |
UCF by 3+ |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Air Force |
4 |
1 |
32 |
|
| |
Utah St. |
1 |
4 |
21 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
W Kentucky |
3 |
2 |
32 |
UTSA with tons of negatives |
| |
UTSA |
3 |
2 |
33 |
in Savvy metrics. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| 8 |
Mississippi |
5 |
0 |
42 |
I feel really good about |
| |
Vanderbilt |
3 |
2 |
17 |
Savvy’s projection of 60 total points. |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Louisville |
2 |
3 |
25 |
|
| |
Virginia |
2 |
3 |
21 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Army |
1 |
3 |
24 |
|
| |
Wake Forest |
4 |
1 |
35 |
|
| |
|
|
|
2 |
|
| |
E Michigan |
3 |
2 |
24 |
|
| |
W Michigan |
2 |
3 |
31 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
Savvy Game Line 