College football predictions for week 13

11/21/2021   6:02pm

Last week:   54 – 11   83%

Season:   581 – 191    75%

Against the oddsmakers:

predicting point spreads:   +1

predicting total points:   +11   (+71 season)


  Savvy Index   2021    
  predictions week 13    
  last week:      54-11 83%

 spreads vs Vegas: +1

game points vs Vegas: +11

Nov 27    
top 25 Season:   581-191    75% wins losses game rating final
  Arizona 1 10 14 Arizona just doesn’t have enough
  Arizona St. 7 4 32 talent on the defensive side yet.
  Oregon St. 7 4 27 OSU is a giant killer with wins over
15 Oregon 9 2 32 over all 3 of 4 PAC-12 South contenders.
2 Notre Dame 10 1 40  
  Stanford 3 8 10  
  California 4 6 21 The over/under of 57.5 is
  UCLA 7 4 33 much too high.
14 BYU 9 2 35 USC won’t stop Allgeier.
  USC 4 6 24  
  Colorado 4 7 14 Colorado is 2nd in the entire nation
12 Utah 8 3 38 for fewest turnovers per game.
  Washington St. 6 5 27 Huskies finally made the right call in
  Washington 4 7 22 naming Gregory interim head coach.
  UNLV 2 9 16 UNLV qb Cameron Friel has thrown 11
  Air Force 8 3 35 interceptions in just 226 pass attempts.
  Georgia So. 3 8 14 Defensive back Steven Jones of App St.
  App State 9 2 37 leads the nation with five interceptions.
  Missouri 6 5 24 Arkansas is good enough to beat Mizzou
  Arkansas 7 4 32 but ‘Backs should not be top 25.
  Texas St. 3 8 28 Arkansas State’s Alan Lamar has
  Arkansas St. 2 9 33 over 1200 yards in kickoff returns.
4 Alabama 10 1 37 Auburn has been dropping
  Auburn 6 5 21 all month.
  Buffalo 4 7 26 Buffalo has lost three straight
  Ball St. 5 6 32 with a crumbling defense.
  Texas Tech 6 5 20 TTU playing the team from which
19 Baylor 9 2 38 they recruited it recruited its new head coach.
25 Wake Forest 9 2 36 Boston College secondary is
  Boston Col 6 5 27 really beat up right now.
  Ohio 3 8 33 Ohio is starting to get it after
  Bowling Green 3 8 24 untimely change in head coaches.
  E Michigan 6 5 24 CMU’s fr qb Richardson has
  C Michigan 7 4 36 a 21:4 td:interception ratio.
  Nevada 7 4 36  
  Colorado St. 3 8 24  
23 Houston 10 1 44  
  Connecticut 1 9 13  
  Miami Fl 6 5 46 Duke won’t fire Cutcliffe but a little
  Duke 3 8 20 nudge toward retirement might be in the works.
6 Cincinnati 11 0 36 Desmond Ridder of Cincinnati has
  E Carolina 7 4 17 25 passing tds and 6 rushing.
  Middle Tenn 5 6 27 FAU has three qbs out for the season…
  Florida Atl. 5 6 28 two of them left the team.
  Florida St. 5 6 26 FSU doing well after 0-4 start.
  Florida 5 6 31 Mullen fired by Florida.
  Troy 5 6 26 Carlton Martial of Troy leads the
  Georgia St. 6 5 27 nation with 80 assisted tackles.
1 Georgia 11 0 47 UGA gives up just 7.5 ppg. I doubt
  Georgia Tech 3 8 7 GTU will even score.
  Northwestern 3 8 21 New Illinois coach Brett Bilema is one
  Illinois 4 7 27 game ahead of what we projected.
  TCU 5 6 20 TCU rb Zach Evans is listed
  Iowa St. 6 5 37 as questionable.
  W Virginia 5 6 39 Kansas has very high metrics
  Kansas 2 9 20 the past month.
  Miami Oh 6 5 28 Kent State is #1 in the
  Kent St. 6 5 29 nation for turnover margin.
  Army 7 3 27  
  Liberty 7 4 31  
  LA Monroe 4 7 13  
9 Louisiana 10 1 41  
  Kentucky 8 3 24 This is the most surprising upset
  Louisville 6 5 28 pick of the week by Savvy.
22 Texas A&M 8 3 30 Will A&M’s Fisher be on the other
  LSU 5 6 21 sideline next year? Rumors, rumors, rumors.
  W Kentucky 7 4 34 Bailey Zappe of WKU has passed
  Marshall 7 4 30 for 4668 yards. Vegas favors Marshall.
  Tulane 2 9 27 Watch this one because Tulane’s trend
  Memphis 5 6 33 lines have been awesome all month.
3 Ohio St. 10 1 33 Vegas says OSU by 7.5.
5 Michigan 10 1 27 I think it’s OSU by 12+.
17 Penn St. 7 4 28 Many will call this an upset
  Michigan St. 9 2 21 but Savvy is solid for PSU.
16 Wisconsin 8 3 27 UW defense only gives up
  Minnesota 7 4 18 2.2 yards per rush.
13 Mississippi 9 2 31 Battle of two former PAC-12 coaches and
  Mississippi St. 7 4 30 two spectacular quarterbacks.
8 Iowa 9 2 27 Nebraska has lost 7 of last 8
  Nebraska 3 8 21 but Frost got an extension.
  Utah St. 8 3 34 New coach Danny Gonzalez has done
  New Mexico 3 8 17 a phenomenal job with the UNM defense.
  Massachusetts 1 10 27 Between them, these secondaries have
  New Mexico St. 1 10 34 given up 53 td passes.
  N Carolina 6 5 27 UNC receiver Josh Downs has 90
21 N Carolina St. 8 3 35 pass receptions, 2nd in FBS.
  W Michigan 6 5 30 WMU has lost 4 of its last 6.
  N Illinois 8 3 31 Oddsmakers favor WMU.
18 UTSA 11 0 33 UTSA has the ninth best rush
  N Texas 5 6 21 defense in America.
7 Oklahoma 10 1 28 Vegas says 51 total points.
10 Oklahoma St. 10 1 30 It will be above.
  Charlotte 5 6 22 CDU coach Ricky Rahne was expected
  Old Dominion 5 6 34 to get only one win in 2021.
  Indiana 2 9 19  
  Purdue 7 4 31  
  LA Tech 3 8 33 La Tech hired a new secondary coach last
  Rice 3 8 28 March but def has given up 22 passing tds.
  Maryland 5 6 24 Minor upset. RU has a much
  Rutgers 5 6 28 better defense than the Terps.
  Boise St. 7 4 26 I double-checked the trend lines
24 San Diego St. 9 2 20 and this upset is solid on Savvy.
  Fresno St. 8 3 32 Despite a losing record, SJSU’s
  San Jose St. 5 6 20 coach Brennan will get some big offers.
  Tulsa 5 6 28 SMU’s Bryan Massey leads the nation
  SMU 8 3 33 in kickoff returns at 37.1 ypr.
  Coastal Car 9 2 38 CCU must put more trust in senior qb
  S Alabama 5 7 19 Carpenter if it expects to finish strong.
20 Clemson 8 3 29 Clemson’s Uiagalelei has settled down
  S Carolina 6 5 17 but Tigers still have no long ball threat.
  Florida Intl. 1 10 17 SoMiss has posted among the best metrics
  S Miss 2 9 34 in the nation the past two weeks.
11 Pittsburgh 9 2 40 Pitt has won all three of the last
  Syracuse 5 6 24 match ups between these two.
  Navy 2 8 35 Navy gets to 3 wins as we projected in preseason.
  Temple 3 8 21 Vegas says 43.5 points but it will be much more.
  Vanderbilt 1 9 17 Experts say 62,5 total points
  Tennessee 6 5 43 but it will be less.
  Kansas St. 7 4 30 Will Sark be sharked?
  Texas 4 7 24 Oddsmakers favor Gexas.
  Akron 2 9 14 Akron is beginning to stabilize with
  Toledo 6 5 40 the emergence of fr qb Zach Gibson.
  UTEP 7 4 20  
  UAB 7 4 29  
  USF 2 9 21 USF’s Brian Battie leads the
  UCF 7 4 40 nation with 3 kickoff touchdown returns.
  Virginia Tech 5 6 28 Virginia qb Brennan Armstrong is
  Virginia 6 5 30 “questionable” as of Sunday p.m.
  Hawai’i 6 6 24 Hawai’i d-back Cortez Davis has knocked
  Wyoming 6 5 31 down 15 passes…most in the nation.
         

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