Predictions for all 84 college football games in week 1


Every team in the FBS has a game this weekend and that means a total of 84 games. Our Savvy Index has predictions for every one of those games.

Last week, the Index was 100% accurate in predicting winners and 40% better than betting lines in predicting spreads and total points.

Leading the way this week are two games involving top ten teams. Top-ranked Alabama is a seven point pick over Miami Fl despite betting odds that set the margin at nearly 20 while third-ranked Clemson is a four point choice on our Index over #6 Georgia.

Two FCS teams are predicted to upset FBS opponents as Eastern Washington visits UNLV and title contender South Dakota State is a two point pick at Colorado State. Also at-risk is Middle Tennessee which is shown as a one-point favorite over Monmouth. In a rare bit of scheduling, UAB of the FBS is the visiting team against Jackson State of the FCS.

In the PAC-12, betting lines show Oregon State, UCLA, and Stanford all losing but our Index shows Oregon State over Purdue 34-31, UCLA over LSU 28-27, and Stanford 32-24 over Kansas State. Predictions for other PAC-12 games show:

Oregon 41, Fresno State 20

Nevada 30, California 24 (Vegas favors Cal)

Arizona State 48, Southern Utah 3

BYU 38, Arizona 20

USC 32, San Jose State 24

Utah 40, Weber State 24

Washington 39, Montana 13

Washington State 40, Utah State 28

Colorado is a thirty-five point favorite over Northern Colorado but watch this one closely because Northern Colorado didn’t play last season and has added 17 FBS transfers including quarterback Luke McCaffrey from Michigan.

Below are the Savvy Index predictions for all FBS teams in week 1.


  Savvy Index   2021    
  predictions week 1    
  last week: 7-0 100% Sept 4    
top 25 season: 7-0 100% wins losses prediction notes
22 BYU 0 0 38  
  Arizona 0 0 20  
           
fcs S Utah 0 1 3  
  Arizona St. 0 0 48  
           
  Nevada 0 0 30  
  California 0 0 24  
           
fcs N Colorado 0 0 10 NoColorado is THE biggest
  Colorado 0 0 45 darkhorse in college football.
           
  Fresno St. 1 0 20  
11 Oregon 0 0 41  
           
  Oregon St. 0 0 34 Upset on the road
  Purdue 0 0 31 for Oregon State.
           
  Stanford 0 0 32 Oddsmakers favor
  Kansas St. 0 0 24 Kansas State.
           
23 LSU 0 0 27 upset alert.
  UCLA 1 0 28  
           
  San Jose St. 1 0 24  
16 USC 0 0 32  
           
fcs Weber St. 0 0 14 Weber State is an FCS
15 Utah 0 0 40 national title contender.
           
fcs Montana 0 0 13  
25 Washington 0 0 39  
           
  Utah St. 0 0 28 USU is improved but
  Washington St. 0 0 40 WSU is better right now.
           
fcs Lafayette (Penn) 0 0 9  
  Air Force 0 0 47  
           
  E Carolina 0 0 17 Despite this loss, ECU
  App State 0 0 37 is better this year.
           
  Rice 0 0 24  
  Arkansas 0 0 34  
           
fcs C Arkansas 0 0 20  
  Arkansas St. 0 0 37  
           
  Akron 0 0 10  
  Auburn 0 0 38  
           
fcs W Illinois 0 0 9  
  Ball St. 0 0 48  
           
fcs Colgate 0 0 10  
  Boston Col 0 0 51  
           
fcs Wagner 0 0 6  
  Buffalo 0 0 56  
           
  Duke 0 0 28 Vegas says 60.5 o/u.
  Charlotte 0 0 24 Will be under.
           
  Miami Oh 0 0 10  
9 Cincinnati 0 0 41  
           
6 Georgia 0 0 27  
2 Clemson 0 0 31  
           
fcs The Citadel 0 0 3 The Citadel struggled
20 Coastal Car 0 0 55 this past Spring.
           
fcs S Dakota St. 0 0 30 SDSU finished 2nd
  Colorado St. 0 0 28 in FCS last season.
           
fcs Holy Cross 0 0 24 This has a high
  Connecticut 0 1 34 upset alert.
           
fcs St. Francis PA 0 0 14  
  E Michigan 0 0 39  
           
fcs Long Island 0 0 13 FIU will get back on
  Florida Intl. 0 0 46 track in 2021.
           
  Florida Atl. 0 0 21  
8 Florida 0 0 38  
           
3 Notre Dame 0 0 35  
  Florida St. 0 0 20  
           
fcs Gardner-Webb 0 0 12  
  Georgia So. 0 0 43  
           
  Army 0 0 34  
  Georgia St. 0 0 24  
           
  N Illinois 0 0 24  
  Georgia Tech 0 0 28  
           
fcs Portland St. 0 0 21  
  Hawai’i 0 1 40  
           
  Texas Tech 0 0 34 Oddsmakers say Texas
  Houston 0 0 39 Tech but UH will win this.
           
  UTSA 0 0 27  
  Illinois 1 0 28  
           
13 Indiana 0 0 27 Vegas says 46 total pts.
7 Iowa 0 0 31 It will be more.
           
fcs N Iowa 0 0 14  
14 Iowa St. 0 0 43  
           
  UAB 0 0 42 Odd this isn’t a home
fcs Jackson St. 0 0 10 game for UAB.
           
fcs S Dakota 0 0 23  
  Kansas 0 0 33  
           
  LA Monroe 0 0 17  
  Kentucky 0 0 38  
           
fcs Campbell 0 0 10  
  Liberty 0 0 51  
           
  W Virginia 0 0 32 Despite Savvy & Vegas,
  Maryland 0 0 28 I think Terps win this.
           
fcs Nicholls St. 0 0 21  
  Memphis 0 0 44  
           
1 Alabama 0 0 34 Wow…this Savvy prediction
10 Miami Fl 0 0 27 is a big surprise.
           
  W Michigan 0 0 24  
  Michigan 0 0 38  
           
fcs Monmouth 0 0 27  
  Middle Tenn 0 0 28  
           
5 Ohio St. 0 0 38  
  Minnesota 0 0 24  
           
  Louisville 0 0 28 Monday
  Mississippi 0 0 43 Sept 6th
           
  LA Tech 0 0 21 Oddsmakers favor
  Mississippi St. 0 0 24 MSU by 23.5..
           
  C Michigan 0 0 21  
  Missouri 0 0 30  
           
  Marshall 0 0 34 I personally see a
  Navy 0 0 21 closer margin.
           
fcs Fordham 0 0 14  
  Nebraska 0 1 42  
           
fcs Houston Baptist 0 0 17  
  New Mexico 0 0 41  
           
  USF 0 0 17  
  N Carolina St. 0 0 43  
           
  Michigan St. 0 0 17  
  Northwestern 0 0 28  
           
fcs N’western St. 0 0 14  
  N Texas 0 0 41  
           
  Syracuse 0 0 27 Ohio won’t miss a beat
  Ohio 0 0 41 with its new coach.
           
fcs Missouri St. 0 0 14  
24 Oklahoma St. 0 0 46  
           
  Massachusetts 0 0 17 Keep an eye on UMass. Coach
  Pittsburgh 0 0 45 Bell is dynamite.
           
  Temple 0 0 21  
  Rutgers 0 0 31  
           
  New Mexico St. 0 1 14  
  San Diego St. 0 0 40  
           
fcs Abilene Christian 0 0 14  
  SMU 0 0 51  
           
  S Miss 0 0 27  
  S Alabama 0 0 28  
           
fcs E Illinois 0 1 10  
  S Carolina 0 0 49  
           
fcs Duquesne 0 0 7  
  TCU 0 0 44  
           
  Bowling Green 0 0 21 Vegas says 59.0 o/u . . .
  Tennessee 0 0 36 bet the over.
           
  Louisiana 0 0 28 Texas better be ready
18 Texas 0 0 32 to play ‘cuz UL will be.
           
  Kent St. 0 0 24 This game will be closer
21 Texas A&M 0 0 35 than experts’ 30-pt margin.
           
  Baylor 0 0 30  
  Texas St. 0 0 24  
           
fcs Norfolk St. 0 0 17  
  Toledo 0 0 47  
           
fcs Southern Univ. 0 0 17  
  Troy 0 0 37  
           
4 Oklahoma 0 0 42  
  Tulane 0 0 27  
           
fcs UC Davis 0 0 20 I won’t be surprised
  Tulsa 0 0 35 if UCD wins this.
           
  Boise St. 0 0 28  
  UCF 0 0 34  
           
fcs E Washington 0 0 31 FCS upsets FBS.
  UNLV 0 0 30  
           
fcs Bethune-Cookman 0 0 14 Bethune is about average
  UTEP 1 0 36 as an FCS team.
           
fcs E Tennesse St. 0 0 17  
  Vanderbilt 0 0 35  
           
fcs William & Mary 0 0 14  
  Virginia 0 0 38  
           
17 N Carolina 0 0 34 I personally see UNC
  Virginia Tech 0 0 27 by 12 or more.
           
  Old Dominion 0 0 21  
  Wake Forest 0 0 46  
           
19 Penn St. 0 0 25  
12 Wisconsin 0 0 30  
           
fcs Tenn-Martin 0 0 17  
  W Kentucky 0 0 36  
           
fcs Montana St. 0 0 24 MSU is one of the
  Wyoming 0 0 27 best of the FCS.
           

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