College football at last! — predictions for week 1, 2020

Don’t ya love it?

College football is actually happening in 2020!

And, we don’t have to wait any longer because this Thursday we get things kicked off with:


South Alabama at Southern Mississippi

Southern Mississippi should have little trouble at home against South Alabama although the early Savvy projection is a conservative 12 points.   Both teams need better play from their quarterbacks but SMiss is favored 33-21 because the Golden Eagles won seven games in 2019 compared to just two for the Jaguars and because USM has an advantage in its returning roster.


Central Arkansas at UAB

Most experts agree that UAB’s stature as a perennial bowl team will put this game out of reach for Central Arkansas of the FCS.

However, UAB’s quarterback Tyler Johnson III has less than 60% completion rate to go with a horrendous 6% interception rate.  Among other factors, Johnson’s low-rate passing is one reason UAB is only a one possession favorite.

C. Arkansas is known to be an FBS assassin so don’t be surprised if the Bears pull this one off. 


Best game of the week:

Arkansas State at Memphis

Arkansas State is going to be dynamite on offense this season.  The Red Wolves are in the upper one-third of FBS for returning skill players and the offensive line returns almost in whole from last year’s bowl team. 

Quarterback Lane Hatcher completed more than 65% for more than 2900 yards. 

Memphis will counter with spectacular quarterback Brady White (4000 passing yards) in pursuit of another 12-win season.

But the big question mark for Memphis is its change at the top after head coach Jay Norvell took his string of successes to Florida State.

Savvy is showing a 35-28 Memphis win.


Here is our full list of predictions:

Savvy Index   2020    
Predictions week 1    
  Sept 5    
  wins losses prediction notes
Middle Tenn     20 Don’t panic MTSU. Coach Stockstill will right the ship.
Army     32 Just…not this week.
         
E Kentucky     28 Marshall qb Isaiah Green will
Marshall     40 put the Herd into another bowl.
         
Arkansas St.     28 Does Memphis still have the
Memphis     35 magic after coach Norvell left for FSU?
         
BYU     27 Pretty even matchup but Navy
Navy     28 gets the home field advantage.
         
Houston Baptist     17 I’m not so sure NTU can score 50 without Mason Fine,
N Texas     50 but Houston B is a poor FCS opponent.
         
S Alabama     21 Expect both defenses to
S Miss     33 frustrate opposing qbs.
         
SMU     30 Personally, I see SMU
Texas St.     24 44-17.
         
LA Monroe       Prediction rescinded. Game
Troy       moved to Dec. 5th.
         
C Arkansas     28 Central Arkansas is one of the
UAB     36 better FCS programs.
         
Stephen F Austin     7 Don’t let the margin fool you.
UTEP     30 This is UTEPs only Savvy-predicted win of 2020.
         

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