Ohio State still best in FBS; Utah alone atop PAC-12

Top25 in red


Ohio State(12-0) won the Savvy regular season national rankings followed by Clemson and LSU.  All three are 12-0 and the only undefeated teams at the FBS level.

With Alabama’s loss to Auburn, Georgia (11-1) and Oklahoma (11-1) moved into fourth and fifth rankings although both are threatened by #6 Utah (11-1) if the Utes dominate their PAC-12 showdown with #10 Oregon (10-2) on Friday.   Other than the top three, Utah is the only top ten team with play-off level metrics in our system.

Last week was rivalry week and we don’t generally expect prediction accuracy to be as high as other weeks.  However, the Savvy Index did better than we anticipated as it finished 44-16 for the week and 640-196 (77%) for the regular season.  With just the Army-Navy game to go, the 837 total predictions this season is 121 more than a year ago.

The system accurately predicted three upsets, including Boston College’s win over Pittsburgh, but missed on four others.  The system missed the Texas Tech upset by 43 but the closest four predictions were:

Memphis over Cincinnati 34-24 (Savvy predicted 33-24)

Marshall over Florida International 30-27 (Savvy predicted 28-27)

Utah State over New Mexicao 38-25  (Savvy said 39-24)

Charlotte over Old Dominion 38-22   (Savvy predicted 38-20)

To see others, visit us here.

In the PAC-12 . . .

Utah’s crushing win over Colorado (5-7) was dominating but not something we didn’t expect.  As a result, the Ute’s didn’t move from its sixth ranking.

Tenth-ranked Oregon (10-2) benefited from schedule reiteration to take a small step up from last week’s 12th ranking.

Except for firing its football coach, #25 USC (8-4) was idle but is the only other PAC-12 team in the rankings.

Washington (7-5) is the next closest with a 32nd ranking.

 


      Savvy Index   2019
      Top 25
week
15
last week    
Record:      640-196      77%
Dec 7
14 rank pts rank teams wins losses
1 540 1 Ohio St. 12 0
2 539 2 Clemson 12 0
3 538 3 LSU 12 0
5 528 4 Georgia 11 1
7 527 5 Oklahoma 11 1
6 525 6 Utah 11 1
8 519 7 Notre Dame 10 2
11 517 8 Florida 10 2
4 517 9 Alabama 10 2
12 517 10 Oregon 10 2
14 517 11 Boise St. 11 1
10 517 12 Penn St. 10 2
15 514 13 Baylor 11 1
17 514 14 Wisconsin 10 2
19 513 15 App State 11 1
16 513 16 Memphis 11 1
21 512 17 Auburn 9 3
9 511 18 Michigan 9 3
13 509 19 Minnesota 10 2
20 508 20 Iowa 9 3
18 503 21 Cincinnati 10 2
nr 501 22 UCF 9 3
25 496 23 Virginia 9 3
22 495 24 Va Tech 8 4
24 495 25 USC 8 4