Georgia at Auburn; who wins SEC showdown?

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Why are we always waiting for the SEC West?  Sometimes we wait on the SEC East, but then, no one really cares. Together, they are like giddy sisters soaking up attention while the rest of us tap our feet and wait.

While other conferences can define their champions somewhat early, the SEC-West waits and waits until the final gun of the final game before it tells us anything.

I suppose fans like it that way but, to me, it smacks of superfluity.  I mean,  I don’t want to sound like, “Who does she think she is wearing THAT dress” but I sorta get tired of the SEC West getting attention throughout the season, then cajoling for more with these late-season dramatics.

Oh well.  At least her sister is ugly.

Some of that late-season drama will be solved as #6 Georgia (8-1) travels to #13 Auburn (7-2).  The winner will still be a long shot for the CFP but at least we’ll have one less giddy sister in our hair.  Georgia should win by five.

In another battle of ranked teams, #7 Oklahoma (8-1) should handle #17 Baylor (9-0).  Even so, the Sooners need to find a defense before they think they belong in the national championship discussion.  The Index favors Oklahoma,  39-28.

Undefeated #9 Minnesota (9-0) will make a dignified departure from the BIG-10 race after a narrow loss at #18 Iowa (6-3).

Top-ranked Ohio State (9-0) will have no problem with Rutgers (2-7) in a 54-0 flogging that will explain why the Knights are called “Scarlet”.   It will be the second OSU thrashing of opponents in as many weeks after the Buckeyes blasted the Maryland Terrapins 73-14 last week.

That thrashing was a shame though because it revealed the bald truth that today’s Buckeyes have totally forgotten that, in Maryland at least, turtles are people too!

In the PAC-12 . . .

There probably isn’t anything Clay Helton can do to save his job at USC (6-4), but a loss to struggling California (5-4) would pack his suitcases earlier rather than later.  Savvy projects USC will win 30-24.

Oregon (8-1) is fifth-ranked and should keep its narrow CFP hopes alive with a 45-14 win over the Arizona Mildcats (4-5).

Arizona State (5-4) will struggle with Oregon State (4-5), the nation’s number one team for fewest turnovers.  Nonetheless, the Sun Devils enter Corvallis as a 32-28 favorite.

Tenth-ranked Utah (8-1) is the top team in the nation for stopping the run and should prevail over fast rising UCLA (4-5).  The Utes are favored 35-14.  Yet, even if the Utes win all of their remaining games, they have almost no path to the CFP.

Washington State and Stanford were once PAC-12 North contenders but both have fallen to 4-5 and neither has much of a chance to make it to a bowl game since the Cardinal finish against #12 Notre Dame and WSU will finish at #25 Washington amid rumors that coach Mike Leach is headed to Arkansas.

Last week, Savvy correctly predicted LSU’s win over Alabama.  At the same time, the Index finished only 31-17 over all to bring the season prediction record to 498-155 (76%).

If you’re looking for more PAC-12 or Northwest sports, visit our friends at Oregon Sports News.

  Savvy Index   2019    
  predictions week 12    
  Record:       498-155  76% Nov 16
2019
 
rank teams wins losses prediction notes
  USC 6 4 30  
  California 5 4 24  
    PAC12      
  Arizona 4 5 14 UA is 126th in total defense.
5 Oregon 8 1 45 Oregon 13th for ypp defense.
    PAC12      
  Arizona St. 5 4 32 If ASU throws interceptions,
  Oregon St. 4 5 28 OSU will win this.
    PAC12      
  UCLA 4 5 14 Utah gives up just 56 rushing
10 Utah 8 1 35 yards per game… #1 FBS
    PAC12      
  Stanford 4 5 28 Each must win to have a
  Washington St. 4 5 33 chance at a bowl game.
           
  E Michigan 4 5 35 EMU is top 10 for most negatives.
  Akron 0 9 14 Akron has three times as many.
           
  Coastal Car 4 5 28 CCU has won but against a
  Arkansas St. 5 4 37 pretty weak schedule.
           
fcs VMI 0 1 21 Shame on Army for scheduling
  Army 4 6 42 two FCS opponents.
           
6 Georgia 8 1 28 Auburn with a strong CFP
13 Auburn 7 2 23 resume’ despite 2 losses.
           
  C Michigan 6 4 27 minor upset
  Ball St. 4 5 28  
           
7 Oklahoma 8 1 39 Oklahoma is on a noticeable
17 Baylor 9 0 28 downward slide.
           
  New Mexico 2 7 14  
15 Boise St. 8 1 45  
           
fcs Idaho St. 1 1 13  
  BYU 6 3 38  
           
  Wake Forest 7 3 14 Despite 7 wins, WF isn’t
2 Clemson 10 0 46 playing all that great.
           
  Air Force 7 2 36  
  Colorado St. 4 5 21  
           
  Syracuse 3 6 28 The Syracuse slide is
  Duke 4 5 30 getting worse each week.
           
fcs Alabama St. 5 4 0 Alabama St. made it close
  Florida St. 5 5 47 against UAB earlier. Not this time.
           
  LA Monroe 4 5 28 GaSo leads the nation with
  Georgia So. 5 4 31 zero interceptions thrown.
           
23 App State 8 1 40 … but GSU has been a
  Georgia St. 6 3 23 giant killer in 2019.
           
24 Va Tech 6 3 36 GaTech will be all right—
  Georgia Tech 2 7 17 just not this year.
           
19 Memphis 8 1 37  
  Houston 3 6 31  
           
9 Minnesota 9 0 26 The first of two losses for
18 Iowa 6 3 27 the Gophers.
           
22 Texas 6 3 28 Yup – – – Cyclones push
  Iowa St. 5 4 33 Texas near bowl extinction.
           
  W Virginia 3 6 21 Compounding negatives at WVU
  Kansas St. 6 3 32 suggest something is wrong.
           
  Buffalo 5 4 34 Vegas is too conservative at
  Kent St. 3 6 21 -6 for Buffalo.
           
21 LA Tech 8 1 33  
  Marshall 6 3 20  
           
  Bowling Green 3 6 20  
  Miami Oh 5 4 34  
           
  Michigan St. 4 5 17 MSU will finish 6-6.
11 Michigan 7 2 34  
           
  Rice 0 9 24 Rice— the least penalized
  Middle Tenn 3 6 27 team in FBS.
           
3 LSU 9 0 41  
  Mississippi 4 6 20  
           
4 Alabama 8 1 39 Not a good week to be
  Mississippi St. 4 5 17 playing the Tide.
           
14 Florida 8 2 32 How far Mizzou has fallen
  Missouri 5 4 17 from week 1 expectations.
           
  Louisville 5 4 35 NCSU one of the worst
  N Carolina St. 4 5 27 performance lines in Power 5.
           
16 Wisconsin 7 2 37 Nebraska headed for its
  Nebraska 4 5 17 fourth straight losing season.
           
fcs Incarnate Word 5 5 24  
  New Mexico St. 0 9 31  
           
  Navy 7 1 24 The first of three losses
12 Notre Dame 7 2 30 coming up for Navy.
           
  Massachusetts 1 9 10 Umass gives up 567
  Northwestern 1 8 45 yards per game.
           
  W Michigan 6 4 33 Vegas says Ohio. Savvy is
  Ohio 4 5 28 solid with WMU.
           
  Kansas 3 6 27 Kansas just doesn’t have the
  Oklahoma St. 5 4 38 bodies on defense yet.
           
  Indiana 7 2 21 PSU leads the nation in
8 Penn St. 8 1 31 per-rush defense.
           
  N Carolina 4 5 24 …but UNC has better
  Pittsburgh 6 3 27 performance lines.
           
1 Ohio St. 9 0 54 Ohio State is the best team
  Rutgers 2 7 0 in America right now.
           
  LA Lafayette 7 2 45  
  S Alabama 1 8 13  
           
  Fresno St. 4 5 25 Upset. SDSU hasn’t trended upward
  San Diego St. 7 2 24 since September 3rd.
           
  Tulane 6 3 32  
  Temple 6 3 27  
           
  S Carolina 4 6 24 Texas A&M on a slow but
  Texas A&M 6 3 31 persistent climb since Oct 10.
           
  Troy 4 5 36 If Troy played defense as well
  Texas St. 3 6 17 as it does offense, it wold be 6-3.
           
  TCU 4 5 31  
  Texas Tech 4 5 30  
           
  N Illinois 3 6 28 Upset.
  Toledo 6 3 27 Game full of sloppy turnovers.
           
  UTEP 1 8 17 Sounds crazy but this game
  UAB 6 3 32 has a few upset indicators.
           
  Hawai’i 6 4 37  
  UNLV 2 7 28  
           
20 Cincinnati 8 1 37 Some have said UC is a CFP
  USF 3 6 21 candidate. Savvy says not even close.
           
  Wyoming 6 3 31 Before Gary Anderson, USU
  Utah St. 5 4 24 was 11-2 last year.
           
  S Miss 6 3 36 Should be exciting since both
  UTSA 4 5 15 of these turn the ball over too much.
           
  Kentucky 4 5 35 Vegas says 8.5 but the spread
  Vanderbilt 2 7 12 will be much greater.