Predictions for all FBS games in Week 10

week10 predictions


Top ranked Ohio State (8-0), #3 Alabama (8-0), and #4 LSU (8-0) all have this week off, but Clemson (8-0) is in action—sort of. The #2 Tigers (8-0) will show their claws for a good half before settling back and coasting to a 52-21 win over Wofford (4-4) of the FCS .

In the best of the ranked match-ups, #10 Georgia (6-1) travels to #11 Florida (7-1). There is a lot on the line in this one because the loser will drop out of contention for the SEC – East championship.  Florida is undefeated at home while Georgia is undefeated on the road.  UGA’s defense will be the difference in a 27-21 Bulldog win.

Twenty-second ranked Memphis (7-1) is favored by the Savvy Index to knock #23 SMU (8-0) out of  the top spot of the AAC – West with a 35-34 win at home.  If so, the Tigers will be in control of the West since they already have a win over Navy (6-1), the division’s only other challenger.

In the PAC-12 . . .

North division leader #7 Oregon (7-1) takes its revitalized rushing attack to Los Angeles to face South division leader #31 USC (5-3).

Last week, Oregon struggled against Washington State’s air attack and now the Ducks face USC, a team with a similar scheme but better athletes.

Oregon’s performance lines on the Index are consistent and positive whereas USC’s have been slightly positive overall but erratic and nearly unpredictable.  Oregon’s defense has been one of the best in the nation especially at the third level while USC continues to give up big plays in the Helton era.

Two weeks ago, Savvy projected that a strong Oregon passing attack would succeed and last week, that a strong rush attack was needed.  This week, the Index says that both teams will need to prove effectiveness in attacking with balance.

Savvy favors the Ducks 33-24 but warns of one of the highest upset ratings in the nation.

Colorado (3-5) visits revitalized UCLA (3-5) in a battle between two teams that performed well last week. The Buffs nearly upset USC while the Bruins pounded previously-ranked Arizona State 42-32 to move into third place in the PAC-12 South.  The surprising Bruins are favored 38-27 against Colorado.

Oregon State (3-4) travels to Tucson to play plummeting Arizona (4-4), a team that spent the past three weeks giving up 44 points per game before firing long-time defensive coordinator Marcel Yates over the weekend.  Oregon State has posted better performance lines but Arizona has better talent.  Savvy is projecting OSU in a 35-34 upset.

Savvy Index is 428 – 129 (77%) in predicting games this season.

If you are looking for more PAC-12 sports, try visiting our friends at Oregon Sports News.

 

  Savvy Index   2019    
  predictions
week
10    
  Predictions: 428-129  77% Nov 2 2019  
rank
teams wins
losses
prediction
notes
  Oregon St. 3 4 35  
  Arizona 4 4 34  
    PAC12      
  Colorado 3 5 27  
  UCLA 3 5 38  
    PAC12      
7 Oregon 7 1 33 ….but Oregon has some
  USC 5 3 24 big problems vs the Air Raid.
    PAC12      
8 Utah 7 1 28 Vegas says -3.5 for the Utes.
  Washington 5 3 20 Should be much greater.
           
  Army 3 5 17 This shows how far
  Air Force 6 2 37 Army has fallen.
           
  Georgia So. 4 3 21 GaSo seems to have figured
15 App State 7 0 37 things out in October.
           
  Mississippi St. 3 5 34 With this win, MSU will
  Arkansas 2 6 21 probably finish 6-6.
           
  Mississippi 3 5 17  
18 Auburn 6 2 35  
           
  W Virginia 3 4 24 This looks like a high -risk
16 Baylor 7 0 35 game for Baylor.
           
  Akron 0 8 23 Akron near the bottom for
  Bowling Green 2 6 28 performance trends.
           
  Troy 3 4 31 This is quite a bold
  Coastal Car 3 4 32 upset prediction for Savvy.
           
  Middle Tenn 3 5 35  
  Charlotte 3 5 28  
           
fcs Wofford 5 2 21  
2 Clemson 8 0 52  
           
  N Illinois 3 5 28 NIU winning is not an
  C Michigan 5 4 21 upset.
           
  UNLV 2 6 25 CSU started slow-again-
  Colorado St. 3 5 33 now picking up steam.
           
  Navy 6 1 46  
  Connecticut 2 6 17  
           
21 Cincinnati 6 1 39  
  E Carolina 3 5 10  
           
  Buffalo 4 4 30  
  E Michigan 4 4 24  
           
  Old Dominion 1 7 17  
  Florida Intl. 4 4 33  
           
10 Georgia 6 1 27 Neither is a playoff-
11 Florida 7 1 21 caliber teram.
           
  Miami Fl 4 4 24 Florida State’s metrics are
  Florida St. 4 4 32 destabilizing again.
           
  Pittsburgh 5 3 31 Pitt will cover the -7.5
  Georgia Tech 2 5 21 Vegas spread.
           
  Fresno St. 3 4 32 This is FSU’s week to be
  Hawai’i 5 3 31 up & UH’s week to be down.
           
  Rutgers 2 6 20 Amazing what one, good
  Illinois 4 4 38 qb has done for Illini.
           
  Northwestern 1 6 23 A close game despite
  Indiana 6 2 24 diverse win-loss records.
           
  Kansas St. 5 2 37  
  Kansas 3 5 27  
           
  Texas St. 2 5 17  
  LA Lafayette 5 2 40  
           
  Arkansas St. 4 4 39 Savvy is pretty sure
  LA Monroe 3 4 28 Ark St. wins this.
           
12 Michigan 6 2 39 Maryland in free fall.
  Maryland 3 5 14  
           
  Liberty 5 3 45  
  Massachusetts 1 7 21  
           
23 SMU 8 0 34 both seemed to have
22 Memphis 7 1 35 peaked.
           
  Virginia 5 3 27  
  N Carolina 4 4 28  
           
  New Mexico 2 6 31 I agree… UNM in an upset.
  Nevada 4 4 30  
           
  Va Tech 5 2 21 There are several trend lines
14 Notre Dame 5 2 33 that suggest VaTech wins.
           
  UTEP 1 6 21 Several trend lines suggest
  N Texas 3 5 35 UTEP might win this.
           
  TCU 4 3 28 Two yo-yo teams make
  Oklahoma St. 4 4 31 this anyone guess.
           
  Nebraska 4 4 30  
  Purdue 2 6 28  
           
  Marshall 5 3 30 Metrics for Marshall are rising.
  Rice 0 8 21 Rice metrics are falling.
           
20 Boise St. 6 1 39 Coach Brennan doing a
  San Jose St. 4 4 20 great job at SJSU.
           
  Vanderbilt 2 5 21  
  S Carolina 3 5 31  
           
  Boston Col 4 4 31  
  Syracuse 3 5 28  
           
  UAB 6 1 24 Savvy sees an upset here.
  Tennessee 3 5 23 Not so sure.
           
  UTSA 3 4 17 …but UTSA is starting to
  Texas A&M 5 3 40 come around.
           
  Tulsa 2 6 27  
  Tulane 5 3 31  
           
  Houston 3 5 24  
17 UCF 6 2 44  
           
  BYU 4 3 28 Neither team has been
  Utah St. 4 3 33 impressive in 2019.
           
  N Carolina St. 4 3 28  
  Wake Forest 6 2 33  
           
  Florida Atl. 5 3 28 FAU is still climbing slowly.
  W Kentucky 5 3 27 WKU has stabilized.