Week 1: FBS game predictions and results

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College football storms into our living rooms this weekend with an overdose of opening-weekend games involving FBS teams.  But, don’t worry—you’ll survive.  How do I know?  Well, if you’re still alive after last year’s 84 week 1 openers, then this year’s 83 should be a snap!

Only two games match nationally ranked teams led by #11 Oregon as a projected 33-31 winner over #19 Auburn. Oregon will start four-year senior Justin Herbert at quarterback while the Tigers return fire with newcomer, Bo Nix.   Yes, Nix is a true freshman but he’s hardly an ordinary one.  His composure and decision-making are second only to his NFL-ready arm.

In a mild upset, #24 Stanford is a one-point favorite at home against slow-starting Northwestern (#20).  In another mild upset, we see Memphis surprising Mississippi, 37-36.

USC is a narrow Savvy Index favorite over Fresno State although the reliability factor for that prediction is very low because FSU must replace a record-breaking quarterback and USC is going with a complete change in its offensive scheme and coordinator.

One we’re paying especially close attention to is UC-Davis against California of the PAC-12.  Although UCD is a three touchdown underdog, the Aggies are solid contenders for the FCS national championship.

Most of the top ten teams are projected to win with little more than token challenges.

Predictions wk 1    
results:     74-9        89% Aug 31 2019  
teams wins losses prediction final
New Mexico St. 0 1 24 7
Washington St. 1 0 41 58
         
UCLA 0 1 28 14
Cincinnati 1 0 32 24
         
Utah 1 0 32 30
BYU 0 1 17 12
         
E Washington 0 1 21 14
Washington 1 0 43 47
         
Auburn 1 0 31 27
Oregon 0 1 33 21
         
Fresno St. 0 1 36 21
USC 1 0 37 31
         
Northwestern 0 1 27 7
Stanford 1 0 28 17
         
UC Davis 0 1 17 13
California 1 0 35 27
         
Kent St. 0 1 21 7
Arizona St. 1 0 37 30
         
Colorado St. 0 1 28 31
Colorado 1 0 33 52
         
Oklahoma St. 1 0 38 52
Oregon St. 0 1 28 36
         
Weber St. 0 1 14 0
San Diego St. 1 0 35 6
         
Purdue 0 1 32 31
Nevada 1 0 28 34
         
S Illinois 0 1 7 23
UNLV 1 0 42 56
         
Sam Houston St. 0 1 14 31
New Mexico 1 0 37 39
         
Colgate 0 1 17 7
Air Force 1 0 35 48
         
N Colorado 0 1 3 18
San Jose St. 1 0 41 35
         
Houston 0 1 35 31
Oklahoma 1 0 47 48
         
LA Tech 0 1 24 14
Texas 1 0 33 45
         
Texas St. 0 1 17 7
Texas A&M 1 0 36 41
         
Missouri 0 1 34 31
Wyoming 1 0 24 37
         
Abilene Christian 0 1 14 31
N Texas 1 0 44 51
         
Ark Pine Bluff 0 1 0 7
TCU 1 0 54 39
         
SMU 1 0 30 37
Arkansas St. 0 1 32 30
         
Montana St. 0 1 21 10
Texas Tech 1 0 41 45
         
Nicholls St. 0 1 14 14
Kansas St. 1 0 34 49
         
Houston Baptist 0 1 17 34
UTEP 1 0 38 36
         
S Alabama 0 1 28 21
Nebraska 1 0 40 35
         
Stephen F Austin 0 1 0 17
Baylor 1 0 49 56
         
Incarnate Word 0 1 7 7
UTSA 1 0 37 35
         
Portland St. 0 1 10 13
Arkansas 1 0 42 20
         
Indiana St. 0 1 17 17
Kansas 1 0 33 24
         
Florida Atl. 0 1 24 21
Ohio St. 1 0 38 45
         
Middle Tenn 0 1 17 21
Michigan 1 0 35 40
         
Miami Oh 0 1 17 14
Iowa 1 0 37 38
         
N Iowa 0 1 17 26
Iowa St. 1 0 41 29
         
Tulsa 0 1 14 7
Michigan St. 1 0 32 28
         
Rhode Island 0 1 14 20
Ohio 1 0 41 41
         
Illinois St. 0 1 13 10
N Illinois 1 0 35 24
         
Indiana 1 0 35 34
Ball St. 0 1 27 24
         
S Dakota 0 1 14 21
Minnesota 1 0 45 28
         
Monmouth 0 1 17 13
W Michigan 1 0 42 48
         
Morgan St. 0 1 0 3
Bowling Green 1 0 41 46
         
Albany 0 1 0 21
C Michigan 1 0 36 38
         
Akron 0 1 29 3
Illinois 1 0 30 42
         
C Arkansas 1 0 14 35
W Kentucky 0 1 36 28
         
Georgia Tech 0 1 24 14
Clemson 1 0 41 52
         
Duke 0 1 24 3
Alabama 1 0 37 42
         
Notre Dame 1 0 38 35
Louisville 0 1 21 17
         
Georgia 1 0 34 30
Vanderbilt 0 1 21 6
         
Georgia So. 0 1 17 3
LSU 1 0 31 55
         
James Madison 0 1 21 13
W Virginia 1 0 43 20
         
Florida A&M 0 1 10 0
UCF 1 0 52 62
         
Boise St. 1 0 30 35
Florida St. 0 1 28 31
         
E Carolina 0 1 17 6
N Carolina St. 1 0 40 34
         
Toledo 0 1 24 24
Kentucky 1 0 35 38
         
Idaho 0 1 6 7
Penn St. 1 0 49 79
         
Mississippi St. 1 0 35 38
LA Lafayette 0 1 21 28
         
Utah St. 0 1 33 35
Wake Forest 1 0 35 38
         
Wisconsin 1 0 38 49
USF 0 1 32 0
         
E Tennesse St. 0 1 14 7
App State 1 0 40 42
         
Campbell 0 1 7 14
Troy 1 0 44 43
         
S Carolina 0 1 35 20
N Carolina 1 0 24 24
         
Rice 0 1 17 7
Army 1 0 34 14
         
Virginia 1 0 30 30
Pittsburgh 0 1 27 14
         
Richmond 0 1 7 10
Buffalo 1 0 44 38
         
Syracuse 1 0 43 24
Liberty 0 1 28 0
         
Va Tech 0 1 32 28
Boston Col 1 0 27 35
         
VMI 0 1 10 17
Marshall 1 0 60 56
         
Alabama St. 0 1 6 19
UAB 1 0 35 24
         
Florida Intl. 0 1 34 14
Tulane 1 0 24 42
         
Mississippi 0 0 36 10
Memphis 0 0 37 15
         
Bucknell 0 1 0 12
Temple 1 0 52 56
         
Georgia St. 1 0 21 38
Tennessee 0 1 34 30
         
E Michigan 1 0 30 30
Coastal Car 0 1 24 23
         
Howard 0 1 6 0
Maryland 1 0 47 78
         
Alcorn St. 0 1 10 10
S Miss 1 0 37 38
         
Norfolk St. 0 1 14 21
Old Dominion 1 0 37 24
         
Holy Cross 0 0 3 7
Navy 0 0 44 45
         
Gardner-Webb 0 1 10 28
Charlotte 1 0 54 48
         
Grambling St. 0 1 14 9
LA Monroe 1 0 35 31
         
Massachusetts 0 1 28 21
Rutgers 1 0 30 48
         
Wagner 0 1 7 21
Connecticut 1 0 47 24