Savvy projections of returning production

silver and white rollout qb generic

To prepare for the 2019 season, the Savvy system uses over 10,000 cells of data in four major reviews and two lesser ones to analyze teams during the off-season.

Today, we are looking at the returning effective production that each team has from last season.

I’ve funneled the data into a 1-through-5 value system with “5” being the best and, of course, “1” being the worst.   In a general sense, one could say that a team listed with a “5” has enough returning talent to expect to have much better results than last year while a “1”  is be expected to drop.

And, instead of listing dozens of columns of data or all of the data groups that Savvy analyzes, I’ve simply shown the data that I believe most readers want—- the scrimmage elements— rushing, passing, rush defense, and pass defense.   I mixed in the other unseen groups and produced a “net” projection for each team.

Please keep in mind that this is returning production only.  It does not yet include evaluations of coaches, graduate transfers, detailed analysis of starting quarterbacks, etc.  Those will be provided later.

And finally, the Net of All Groups is not a preview of potential national rankings because it primarily says how much of last year’s talent returns but does not show how that talent compares to the rest of the FBS world.   For example:  San Jose State and Oklahoma State rate “about average” [3] yet if any of us was forced to choose, I think we would take OSU’s returning players just as we would Penn State’s “3” over Oregon State’s “3”.

Savvy 2019          
Returning Production Projections          
5 = strongest
Net of
Scrimmage groups only      
1 = weakest all groups RUSH offense PASS offense RUSH defense PASS defense
Akron 3 1 4 2 2
Alabama 5 3 4 4 5
App State 3 5 3 2 4
Arizona 4 4 4 4 3
Arizona St. 3 4 1 4 5
Arkansas 3 3 3 1 1
Arkansas St. 3 1 1 3 5
Army 2 5 2 1 1
Auburn 3 4 1 4 5
Ball St. 3 3 2 3 3
Baylor 4 4 4 4 3
Boise St. 3 5 1 4 4
Boston Col 3 4 3 3 4
Bowling Green 3 3 4 3 1
Buffalo 2 5 1 1 2
BYU 3 1 3 1 2
C Michigan 2 2 3 4 3
California 3 2 3 4 4
Charlotte 3 4 2 3 2
Cincinnati 4 5 3 2 4
Clemson 5 5 4 4 5
Coastal Car 2 2 2 2 3
Colorado 4 1 4 5 4
Colorado St. 2 1 3 1 1
Connecticut 2 3 1 3 2
Duke 3 4 4 2 2
E Carolina 3 1 5 2 2
E Michigan 3 1 2 3 4
Florida 4 5 4 4 5
Florida Atl. 3 4 4 1 2
Florida Intl. 4 3 4 3 4
Florida St. 3 1 1 5 5
Fresno St. 3 4 1 4 4
Georgia 4 5 4 1 2
Georgia So. 3 5 2 2 4
Georgia St. 3 3 3 1 1
Georgia Tech 2 4 1 1 1
Hawaii 4 3 5 5 4
Houston 4 4 4 3 3
Illinois 3 4 2 3 3
Indiana 4 4 5 2 3
Iowa 4 4 4 4 5
Iowa St. 4 4 4 4 4
Kansas 2 3 1 1 2
Kansas St. 3 4 2 4 4
Kent St. 3 3 4 3 2
Kentucky 3 5 3 1 1
LA Lafayette 2 4 1 3 3
LA Monroe 4 2 3 3 3
LA Tech 3 3 3 4 5
Liberty 4 4 5 4 5
Louisville 3 2 3 1 1
LSU 5 3 4 5 5
Marshall 3 3 3 4 4
Maryland 3 4 2 2 1
Massachusetts 2 1 1 1 1
Memphis 3 4 3 5 4
Miami Fl 4 4 2 4 5
Miami Oh 2 1 1 2 2
Michigan 4 3 4 3 4
Michigan St. 3 2 1 4 4
Middle Tenn 3 3 1 5 4
Minnesota 3 4 3 3 3
Mississippi 2 3 2 1 1
Mississippi St. 3 3 1 3 4
Missouri 3 4 1 3 3
N Carolina 4 3 4 2 3
N Carolina St. 3 1 2 4 4
N Illinois 4 4 3 5 4
N Texas 4 4 4 1 3
Navy 1 5 1 1 1
Nebraska 4 3 4 2 3
Nevada 3 4 2 3 2
New Mexico 2 1 3 1 2
New Mexico St. 4 3 5 4 3
Northwestern 3 4 1 4 4
Notre Dame 4 3 3 5 5
Ohio 3 3 3 1 3
Ohio St. 5 5 4 5 5
Oklahoma 4 5 2 4 4
Oklahoma St. 3 3 2 3 2
Old Dominion 3 1 5 1 1
Oregon 5 4 4 3 4
Oregon St. 3 3 3 3 1
Penn St. 3 1 1 4 2
Pittsburgh 3 1 3 3 3
Purdue 3 4 1 4 3
Rice 3 1 2 2 4
Rutgers 2 3 3 1 1
S Alabama 2 3 1 2 3
S Carolina 4 3 5 3 2
S Miss 3 1 4 2 3
San Diego St. 3 4 3 4 4
San Jose St. 3 1 3 3 1
SMU 3 1 2 4 3
Stanford 4 1 5 4 5
Syracuse 3 3 2 5 5
TCU 4 3 4 2 3
Temple 4 1 4 4 4
Tennessee 4 3 3 3 4
Texas 4 4 3 1 3
Texas A&M 4 2 4 1 2
Texas St. 3 1 5 1 1
Texas Tech 4 2 5 2 4
Toledo 3 4 4 1 3
Troy 4 5 3 3 4
Tulane 2 4 1 4 3
Tulsa 3 3 3 2 2
UAB 2 5 2 1 1
UCF 3 5 2 4 4
UCLA 4 3 2 3 4
UNLV 3 2 3 2 3
USC 4 1 4 2 1
USF 4 4 4 3 3
Utah 4 2 4 3 4
Utah St. 4 5 4 4 5
UTEP 2 3 3 1 1
UTSA 3 1 2 4 4
Va Tech 5 2 4 5 4
Vanderbilt 3 4 1 3 4
Virginia 3 3 4 1 3
Washington 3 2 1 3 4
Washington St. 3 1 2 4 4
Wisconsin 2 4 2 1 1
Wyoming 3 2 2 2 2

 

 

 

 

……………………………………